September 16, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mystique Artiste | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cream of the Crop | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky in Life | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shoeluv Is Trueluv | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sturn Donna | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Disrespectful | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Splashs Showbiz | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | City of Justice | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Dr. Clark | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shogood | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Superstar Leo | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Flashdance Road | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Armando’s Star | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Caitlins Road | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Go Oshie Go | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mayor Byrne Rocks | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Granites Peak | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Bonnie Go | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Study | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classy Student | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Kitty | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Gables | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fahionably Late | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chosen Facts | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Jeff Lynn Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Goneghost | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mongol Bull | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Good Bye Greg | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shogood | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | St. Louie Guy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Reigning Catfish | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gorgeous George | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Armando’s Star | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Richiesinthehouse | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boom Box | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Franklin County | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Carson Kan | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Checkmate Charlie | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Kyzan | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bushrod | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saidtomyself | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Mensch | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monday Pirate | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Richard Scherer Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Puntsville | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luvin Bullies | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Diadura | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thoughtless | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Black Angel | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shackin Up | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Darlin Rosie | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Delicate Lady | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | A J’s Posse | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Copper Munn | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valid Storm | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Commander’s Castle | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stefan O’Eishen | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Devil Hunt | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coach Nar | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hiparko | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Always a Catch | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Slip and Drive | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alpha Kitalpha | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mendota | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chas the Man | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fort Dixie | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aqtaar | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Rock | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chang’s Secret | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | All Hansens Ondeck | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Judge N Ruler | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Amaroq | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gentleman Richie | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bowknot Billy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Another Richie | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Way | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cairn | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | High Moon | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rio Seco | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Act of Heroism | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Firespike | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Dad Are We Here | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aim to Tease | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bel Air Bullet | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Solar Flair | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Russian Partisan | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greeley’s Special | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Husky Clipper | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.