September 15, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Petal Path | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Indian Oaks | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flirtin Fool | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greeleys Angel | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Doda Doodleallday | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Greeleys Delight | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spanish Coyote | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s a Kingfish | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Garrison K | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cartersville | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raisedonrocknroll | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flight Mission | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spirit Grabber | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bootleggin | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Congrats Given | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vinnardini | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lee’s Luck | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ohiyo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Battle N Away | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Divorce | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Prado Jett | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Valiant Lady | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Superstar Diva | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Heavens Whisper | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Muskrat Love | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Endlessopportunity | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fist Full | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Aiken | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | O No Not U Again | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Francois | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Limestone | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poker Player | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shotenough to Pop | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Pinata | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alwaysmypleasure | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Richiesgotswagger | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harlanday | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tsunami | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danny B | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savemethelastdance | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormin El Prado | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bulldog of Bergen | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Lewis | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Soulja Slim | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Holiday | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Richie Rocks | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hawk Is Ready | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hint to Win | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dr. Move | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chas Tom | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rooster Bay | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bartbaalu | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bubuzela | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Kismet | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Play the Break | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shezahotmama | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Back At the Ranch | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nook | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Talent and Grace | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Drip Brew | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Louise | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prairie Night | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Polar Air | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tizamint | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | B N a Native Girl | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devout Type | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mirabelle Magic | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Templesis | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Cheese a Dolly | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.