September 9, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Clairvoyant Lady | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Isotope | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nisha | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Courtmewithcarats | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Golden Rose | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Safe Kitten | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gobi | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Monteleone | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Triangulate | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tom’s Music | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gravitating | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | St. Augustine | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Bourbon Currency | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Devine Entry | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Factor This | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Indifference | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Solid | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bartletts Mark | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Harlan Punch | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carlino | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Smarty Pants | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Portfolio Manager | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Main Road | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Sure Shot | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cinderela El Crome | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Indimaaj | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allured | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Super Sermon | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coal Truth | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hoard | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Thunder Mesa | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scrutinize | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Knarsdale | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Crimson Frost | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Scheme | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kahrumana | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Long | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Song | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fancy Kitten | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vagabond | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bonita Springs | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Remarqued | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glory to Kitten | 4.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fly By | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Morethanawarning | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bright Side Up | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wake Island | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dream Passage | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speighgal | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Week | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Length | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kusama | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elude | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Windjammer (GER) | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | High Jingo | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Itsinthestars | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Treatherlikestar | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Majestic Bloom | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rock Ave. Road | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Queen of Spades | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Discreet Image | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wantagh Queen | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Same Kinda Crazy | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Eighty Eight | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Tiffanys Freud | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Given Fire | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Seattle Slew S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Windycity | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Far From Over | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Securitiz | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Posse | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Doyouknowsomething | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Backsideofthemoon | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Highland Sky | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Weekend Express | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blacktype (FR) | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Team Colors | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camelot Kitten | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Revved Up | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Changewilldoyagood | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Patentar (FR) | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Night Prowler | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vision Perfect | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gasconade | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tu Exageres | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Real Creel | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love My Cotton | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mineralogy | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Asphalt Paving | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Pooch | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outrageous Bet | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peculiar Sensation | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Conquest Expresso | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Andy | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.