September 8, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Luckarack |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Four Gaels |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Changing Karma |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bound for Heaven |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Land of the Free |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mason B |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Privy |
1.60 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Right to the Point |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Ruled by Girls |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Silic’s Angel |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Tribal Finale |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Twenty One Coil St |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Bardstown |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Mr Vargas |
1.80 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Psychedelicat |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Zipman |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Papa Jazz |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Captain Walker |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Ryderroo |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Rockantharos |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Aiming Straight |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Foxy Lover |
1.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Southern Darling |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Scathing |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Steph Being Steph |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Creative Spark |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Shezaspanishdancer |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Factorofwon |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Divine Mercy |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Avail |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Unaffordable U |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Line Drive |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sea My Moves |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Sweet Marlene |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Little Jack |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Parliamentarian |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Apollo Ten |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Warren’s Cole |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Badasmywifeletsmeb |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Put It There |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Voluntary |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
No Bachi |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Papa Mambo |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Mizzen Glory |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Adios Cali |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Divine Spark |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Journeyonthemove |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Bold At Night |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Victory Seeker |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Warrior Vixen |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Of Note |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Oh Scatty Oh |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Amaranta |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Curlina Curlina |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Gift Giver Linda |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Princess Nicole |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mysteriousmagician |
3.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Colonel Peggy Sue |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Grace Hopper |
5.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Riverka |
30.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Silken Road |
20.00 |
11.9 |
22-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.