September 8, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Foreign Affair | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daniella | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Conquest Lucknlove | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | More Than Treasure | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Run Blondie Run | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Yabba | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daddyisdooley | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2A | 2 | Julia’s Pride | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Banner Wave | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 2 | Buy for Less | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Christmas Sky | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Talkn Til Midnight | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Madame Barbarian | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Lynnie B | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Desirous | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Iwishirish | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Only One Wish | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Feistyloulabelle | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Forres Lily | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Enchanteresse (IRE) | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kinsley Kisses | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Azaelia (FR) | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Somethingelse | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Penjade (FR) | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shamcat | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mascarello | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Main Road | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Henry Lee | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Heated Verdict | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nutzforboltz | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Dearie | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Calculated Risker | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | River Knight | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scatoga | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Facade | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | New Jersey John | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keepingitquiet | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Dats Her | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Missimpazi | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | My Roxy Girl | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Velvet Trinni | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gata’s Applause | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | My Lightnin Strike | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Babe | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Finlee | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flatliner | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | She’s Delightful | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Camille | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Dance for Mon | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Schivarelli | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tale of E Dubai | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Fast to Pass | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Power Nap | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Story to Tell | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6A | 6 | Conquest Twister | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Formal Summation | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Monte Man | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vicki’s Dancer | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eloweasel | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Moondance Joy | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Buffalo Miss | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Startwithsilver | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barrier to Entry | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Acapella | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Rockin Alli | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paz the Bourbon | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Andesine | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Sophia | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Mara | 4.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Special Dividend | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Christiecat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Causeway | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Too Much Tip | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Riley’s Choice | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Epping Forest | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Freud | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Adorable Miss | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rubilinda | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heavenly Score | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tickled Pink | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boos (FR) | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beltany | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nicholas and Me | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thaddeus | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fastlanefrontman | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Harlan’s Vador (ARG) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | White Missile | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Competitiveness | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Great Going | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Prost | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dublin Express | 50.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Buntline Special | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.