September 8, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cov | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bull Market Richie | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fabulous Union | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spectacular Act | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Limeshare | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doug Junior | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cruachan | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | W W Distinction | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | A J’s Posse | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ya Mon | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Espo | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spin Hard | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cocos Eddy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valid Storm | 1.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Face to Face | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Purr’s Along | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | New York Boy | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sea of Anarchy | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Results | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sudden Urges | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heaven’s Buzz | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Razorback Blend | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Giant Mongolian | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Time | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lakota Rose | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Activa | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Revive | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twilight Warrior | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hourly | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Andreas | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sacred Harp | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jericho | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | All Strikes | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Autumn Leaf Fall | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Star Kid | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mummy Troll | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bulldog of Bergen | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Cowboy Classic | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Brexit | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Dragon | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Donivan My Boy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Burnside | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Im the Best I Know | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy D | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Musket Hunter | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Syrup | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Next Monday | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Stride | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gain Ground | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Burgameister | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imposing Will | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fleetway | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Revolt | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Broken Key | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mas Mischief | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Pleasant Street | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Soulja Slim | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hint to Win | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hawk Is Ready | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Solanair | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wayne’s Ready | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Holy Brass | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Summer Castle | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Turnem | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oscarific | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Chas Tom | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.