September 7, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s Got the Mojo | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blanco Brush | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizway That Way | 0.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flirtin Fool | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forty Christina | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Izabella | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Black Angel | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | How Sweet It Is | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moolamiss | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meadow Mystique | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Curlin | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Classic | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wildwood Scat | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Straight Up Smarty | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Granites Peak | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goddess of Kip | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Cookie | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Merlot | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Changn Fivehundred | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taco Grande | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Zip It | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Handsome | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bam Bastic | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heza Tinker | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flashdance Road | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | G. C. Crackerjack | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | River Cactus | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spectacular Road | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Strike Quiet | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | St. Peregrine | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Homer | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silvera | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Altered Mind | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Circuit Reboot | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moment of Triumph | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bibi’s Baby | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glamala | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Ms. Big Cash | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Wake Up Joe | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hawk’s Image | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pablo Del Monte | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wildwood Dejavu | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Paul Reiff | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pale Hose | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Edging | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Giant Mongolian | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Lil Rum Tum | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Saturday’s Song | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lozen | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stay Spicy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jiffy Jenni | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Over Cabo | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Away to Town | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.