September 4, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Friendswith K Mill | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Sparky | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Warnings | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All Hundreds | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tagore | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chovanes | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sambrook Edge | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Image of Rachel | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sober On Sunday | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Euphrates | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Esken Lady | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Athera | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Darling | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Troya | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Draco | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maranatha | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bullgrats | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R Secret Life | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pirate Beach | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Tequila | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – The Vid H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Galleon Mast | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Bachelor | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J R ‘s Holiday | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Harbor | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keepthedreamalive | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Baltar | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s the One | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chepstow | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Green Mansions | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flattrip | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Ramcat | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twice On Sunday | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Midnightonbroadway | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pinch of Cayenne | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Charzaam | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Disco Man | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sophistication | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mexican Lucky | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | All Go | 1.40 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Genio | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Cantaclaro | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Classy Dude | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Go Cristian Go | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | In Summation Man | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Controlled Fury | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sebas Ranger | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Duke of Miami | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Clemen | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. McQuire | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gran Fortress | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Lover | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gran Airspeed | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Devilish Romance | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonshine Cate | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Cuaima | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natrona Girl | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Shade | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peart | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lexi’s Doll | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Five Cents Please | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clouded Appeal | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sainte Therese | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Commissioned | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miliy’s Pride | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poda | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mi Warrior | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fend for Yourself | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Get Er Done Ethel | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Veronica | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Make Big Money | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Histrionic | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dointhewatusi | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dreaming of Aca | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Beleve Watch | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Look It Linda | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rruntoperfection | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Zoraya | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scrap the Mandate | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sylver Magic | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Classic Charlotte | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sunshine N Shadow | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scam | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bull Dozer | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Front Loaded | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Nene | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thanks God | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fifth Avenue Flash | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rodeo Romance | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fearless Princess | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | College Holly | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tzi Our Destiny | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Break Away | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Tomcat | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cali Cat | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hazel W | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Desert Bliss | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vinyardnina | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil’ Smartiepants | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Huaquechula | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Justadarling | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.