September 4, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Mountain Hawk |
1.80 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Private Haven |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Midnight Rodeo |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Chief Inca |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Zeni |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
X Tra Real |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Ortiga (IRE) |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Janine Melnitz |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Credit Alert |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Shekels |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
G. I. Girl |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Pamzine |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Promiscuous Force |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Spicy Girl Red |
4.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cold Hearted Pearl |
8.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
His Robes for Mine |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Sally’s Wolf |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Cherokee Jam |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lost Scroll |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Paddy’s Gal Rosie |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Boston Darlin |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
My Soldat Girl |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Sweet Thing |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
Giles Fair |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Toast the Kitten |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Go Go Romeo |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Asset Allocation |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Justcallme K L |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
14 |
12 |
Testudo |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Master Zeus |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Echo Libra |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Mott |
4.50 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Jennysregalman |
15.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Midnight’s Fantasy |
15.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Royal Seer |
12.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Alex’s Way |
12.00 |
12.7 |
24-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Far From Normal |
30.00 |
13.1 |
25-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mr. Beans |
30.00 |
14.1 |
27-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Survive |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Americana |
1.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Stay West |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Before |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Expect Wonderful |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Stolen Overture |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Zingalong |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Cave Johnson |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Good Save |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Mr. Magician |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Rock Solid Golfer |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Immunity |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Vakeesh |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Smokinwatchstopper |
4.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Reflection |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Corstorphine (IRE) |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Crea Can Do |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Da’blues Dancer |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lady Aconite |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Kate’s Carousel |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Street Princess |
2.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Baby’s Dancer |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Dusty Street |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Flying Slew |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Miss Modela |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Scattered Thoughts (IRE) |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Folk Magic |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Nawlins Kitty |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Al Hayyah (IRE) |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Furiosa |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mecke’s Madalyn |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Spring Mtn Mist |
15.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Miss Metropolitan |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
My Mo |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Rickey’s Girl |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Ultimate Avary |
15.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Mzima Springs |
10.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Thatta Boy Girl |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Include a Check |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
1A |
7 |
Kowboy’s Deelite |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Abets Abet |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Lucky Greatness |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Kim Dandy |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
3 |
Adios Cat |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Red Hot n’ Boom |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.