Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 4, 2017

September 4, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Mountain Hawk 1.80 1.4 3-1
4 4 Private Haven 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Midnight Rodeo 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Chief Inca 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Zeni 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 X Tra Real 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Ortiga (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Janine Melnitz 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Credit Alert 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Shekels 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 G. I. Girl 15.00 5.4 10-1 Scr
6 6 Pamzine 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Promiscuous Force 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Spicy Girl Red 4.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Cold Hearted Pearl 8.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 His Robes for Mine 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Sally’s Wolf 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Cherokee Jam 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Lost Scroll 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Paddy’s Gal Rosie 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Boston Darlin 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 My Soldat Girl 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Sweet Thing 6.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
15 15 Giles Fair 4.00 2.7 5-1 Scr
2 2 Toast the Kitten 20.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Go Go Romeo 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Asset Allocation 6.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Justcallme K L 5.00 6 11-1
14 12 Testudo 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Master Zeus 10.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Echo Libra 15.00 6.4 12-1 Scr
6 6 Mott 4.50 7.6 14-1
12 12 Jennysregalman 15.00 9.6 18-1 Scr
5 5 Midnight’s Fantasy 15.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Royal Seer 12.00 11.3 21-1
8 8 Alex’s Way 12.00 12.7 24-1
9 9 Far From Normal 30.00 13.1 25-1
4 4 Mr. Beans 30.00 14.1 27-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Survive 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Americana 1.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Stay West 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Before 15.00 4 8-1
1 1 Expect Wonderful 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Stolen Overture 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Zingalong 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 5 Cave Johnson 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 4 Good Save 8.00 2.4 5-1
8 6 Mr. Magician 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Rock Solid Golfer 10.00 4.4 8-1 Scr
9 7 Immunity 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Vakeesh 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Smokinwatchstopper 4.00 6.7 13-1
2 1 Reflection 10.00 7.6 14-1
10 8 Corstorphine (IRE) 15.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Crea Can Do 20.00 10 19-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Da’blues Dancer 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Lady Aconite 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Kate’s Carousel 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Street Princess 2.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Baby’s Dancer 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Dusty Street 3.00 5.4 10-1 Scr
2 2 Flying Slew 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Miss Modela 6.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Scattered Thoughts (IRE) 5.00 3 6-1 Scr
3 3 Folk Magic 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Nawlins Kitty 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Al Hayyah (IRE) 4.50 5 9-1
6 6 Furiosa 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Mecke’s Madalyn 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Spring Mtn Mist 15.00 7.1 14-1
11 11 Miss Metropolitan 8.00 7.6 14-1 Scr
9 8 My Mo 10.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Rickey’s Girl 15.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Ultimate Avary 15.00 9.4 18-1 Scr
10 9 Mzima Springs 10.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Thatta Boy Girl 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 6 Include a Check 2.00 2.7 5-1
1A 7 Kowboy’s Deelite 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Abets Abet 10.00 4.1 8-1 Scr
3 2 Lucky Greatness 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Kim Dandy 4.00 5.6 11-1
1 3 Adios Cat 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Red Hot n’ Boom 8.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.