September 4, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Shackalov | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Croissant | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jump the Tracks | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dos Palos | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | General Interest | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Campaigner | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pocket Jax | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Unbridled Ethos | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Powerful Thirst | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gringo Star | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buck Duane | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Return | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Newman | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freddies Dream | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jensen | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Out of Patience | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Woodstock Memory | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Accelerant | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ucanthankmelater | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Zuri Chop (FR) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Batti Man (ARG) | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Secreto Primero | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rocket Heat | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eric the Trojan | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Papa Papa | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | My Man Chuckles | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Tell Me a Story | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Bourque | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Magic Taste | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Gabo’s Macondo | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unreal Deal | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Pretty Owl | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Ricochet | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | So I Sang | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Meiji | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | D’ Platinum | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Complimenti | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hansen Tale Blues | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hopefully | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marley’s Freedom | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Veiled Heat | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiffany Diamond | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kindred | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Dr. Ann | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Poco Suenos | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Retro | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Conformation | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | My Princess Taylor | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Breezy Bee | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super Good | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Encinitas (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Johansson | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goncharova | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Temple Princess | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sweet Marlene | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Union | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fantastic Chloe | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – C.e.r.f. S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Rockport Babe | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lunar Empress | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Sunset | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noted and Quoted | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Classy Tune | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bad Ju Ju | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cuddle Alert | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bitzka | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vai | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jeremy’s Legacy (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dressed to a T | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Kathy’s Song | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | How Unusual | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nodiac (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thermodynamics | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dynamic Mizzes K | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starlite Style | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Laseen (IRE) | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ginga (ARG) | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Dis Smart Cat | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Khaleesi (BRZ) | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Del Mar Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run Away | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bolt d’Oro | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul Streit | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tatters to Riches | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zatter | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gracida | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dia de Pago | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Master Ruler | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fleetwood | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Del Mar Juvenile Fillies Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Medaglia Gold | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Multiplayer | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Terra’s Angel | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Navajo Dreamer (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | One Fast Broad | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bonneville Flats | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dawn Traveller (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Streetwithnoname | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scat Home Lady | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thisoleheartofmine | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Camino Song (IRE) | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unstablenthemornin | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Diver | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Lemon Crush | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Klosters (IRE) | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Touching Rainbows | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leading Score | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Midnight Pleasure | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Red Lightning | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Americanize | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 8 | Uninvited | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bottle Rocket | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Prime Issue | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Gentrified | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Special Season (GB) | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | He’s Munnie | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Zarqa Star | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Big League | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.