September 3, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kaabraaj | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kafister | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tough But Nice | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Los Borrachos | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Logan’s Moon | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Best Two Minutes | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nardo | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Anatolian Heat | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jet Set Man | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chief Hosa | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Odin | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Plate Side | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ultra Fame | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zapana’s Game | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Informality | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spiritual Warrior | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rim Ditch | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eichel | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highly Acclaimed | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Siberian Charm | 8.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Wildcat Blues | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Respect the Shot | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Neighborhood Bully | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Royal Trump | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Michael Mundo | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mac McLovin | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Superb Moment | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Frankie Machine | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Cash Pilot | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Fullerton | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Star Warrior | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Paul’s Diva | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Come On In | 5.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fueled by Bourbon | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cherubim | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holdthismiss | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Old Man Lake | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Next Speaker | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Native Treasure | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stoneys Mr Cruiser | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Iron Rob | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tasunke Witco | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Take the One O One | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Encumbered | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cono | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | An Ocala Ten | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Bombardeo | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Linburgh’s Kitten | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kazan (IRE) | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Martin Riggs | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Buzz | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Boy Jack | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | For Him | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Pubilius Syrus | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Buzzkill | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Armour Plate | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Respect the Hustle | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Rockaway (IRE) | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Condi | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Funny | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Bad Behavior | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thirteen Squared | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alluring Star | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sudden Light | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tea for Tam | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Ippodamia’s Girl | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Steps Faster | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palace Paynter | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | In the Jeans | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Kristo | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Got Even | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s The Ice (GB) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Lieutenant | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Show Me Da Lute | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chris and Dave | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just Kidding | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Crown the Kitten | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ain’t Misbehavin | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ground Rules | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Senator Robert | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Del Mar Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Colonist | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Samurai | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Big Score | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bowies Hero | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monster Man | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harbour Master (GB) | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marckie’s Water | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ritzy A. P. | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Business (GB) | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Double Touch (GB) | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sorry Erik | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Desert General | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Ghetto | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Seeking the West | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dukes Up | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Popular Kid | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Excavation | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rings of Jupiter | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caray | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Trustworthy | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mercer Island | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fibonacci | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Draft Pick | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Kylemore | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Formal Dude | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Bay | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shane Zain | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pali High | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Unlawful Act | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Elevate | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Sterling’s Temple | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Dignitaire | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bitter Ring Home | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vutzak | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mojolicious | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.