September 3, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sandia Crest | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Oz | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wildwood’s Afleet | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Diver | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Rose Cat | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chernyahovskiy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jo Jo’s Wine | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silly Factor | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Betruetoyourschool | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Blarney | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookforasmile | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bizzee Mischief | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | American Deluxe | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Milliner | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drayke’s Channel | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Over Montana | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Intentions | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dimate | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chigger Bite | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Distracted | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grey Mask | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Garey Park | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Spring | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lovingrdsimmar | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spirit Grabber | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Commish | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Only Liquor | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inkspired | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Electrifying | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Sock Mauk | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Lee’s Luck | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Missimard | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elusive Ryder | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blame T J | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diastole | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Staria Peach | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sugarsugarsugar | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Logi | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Canette | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Coal Fired | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Larissa’s Love | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queenoftheroad | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | R U Forreal | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Heel Lady | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Away She Glows | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lu Sea | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | She’s Fine Tuned | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nifty Nellie | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Koala Lake | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Road to Zanzibar | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ally Song | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Seashell | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Americanperfection | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Icalledyoubyname | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Zosia | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mi Hermanita | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Aim to Tease | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | McHenry | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Prue | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greenhorn | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Orcus | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’veseenthisbefore | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Stealthy Traveler | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dittman Thunder | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | A Nice Slewish Boy | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Kielbasa | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Broadway Brett | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Golden Touch | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.