September 2, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Borsa Vento | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Honor Thy Father | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Driven by Thunder | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Guick | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin At Blessing | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Perplexed | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reedini | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Adirondack Dream | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Charlie | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Get the Facts | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Maraud | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Telecommunication | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Oroscopo | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Let’s Go Mick | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Discretionary | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Piantagrane | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Say the Word | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Campaign | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Voting Control | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Make It Work | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Outvoted | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Desert Stone (IRE) | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | A I Initiative | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | E J’s Revenge | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 16A | 16 | Bet It All to Win | 0.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Palladian Bridge | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Frosty Gal | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quick On the Draw | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Never Hungover | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luna Rising | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bree’s Got Heart | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Might Be | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fair Regis | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Carve | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Turbo Street (AUS) | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Generous Kitten | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Captain Moss | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shalako | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Dancetrack | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 15A | 15 | Lewis Vale | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slim Shadey (GB) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Bow Tie Affair | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spin Cycle | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 4 | Dream Man | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Docs Legacy (IRE) | 5.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Street Shark | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Inventor’s Gate | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Indebted | 0.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Natural Order | 3.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Phi Beta Express | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin for Eight | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lenstar | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | J. S. Choice | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lucullan | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Funtastic | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bird’s Eye View | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Let’s Get Loud | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Holiday | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Berks County | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brockton George | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Capitaine | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cruz Diez | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lunaire | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sound Off | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Eclipsed Moon | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Arrival | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Lionite | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Resolution | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 15A | 15 | Pete Marwick | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Chinumado | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Venezuela | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slot | 3.50 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hofburg | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nightstrings | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lone Sailor | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Soul Beam | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wake Me Up At Noon | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Biblical | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Can Go | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | May B | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Alex the Terror | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Still Krz | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Warrior’s Club | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gift Box | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Singing Bullet | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Bitumen | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Always a Suspect | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Squeeze | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sound the Horns | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Top Brass | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Malibu Stacy | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Browse | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Wild About Harry | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Laur Net | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Truth in the Lies | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Wife | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thirstforthecup | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish Harlem | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smile Big | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13A | 13 | Literata | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thais (FR) | 3.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Create a Dream | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Saranac S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Yoshida (JPN) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Havercamp | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Voodoo Song | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rocketry | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bricks and Mortar | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Master Plan | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caviar Czar (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Makarios | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Maverick | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Spinaway S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Separationofpowers | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pure Silver | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maya Malibu | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Obvious Two | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Ivanka | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Woodward S. Presented By Nyra Bets
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Neolithic | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gun Runner | 0.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Story | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rally Cry | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Discreet Lover | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Glens Falls S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Harmonize | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Estrechada (ARG) | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summersault | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sarandia (GER) | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Flag | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grateful | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lottie | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happyness (GB) | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Sandy | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.