September 2, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Golden Atlantic |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Cal Cal Li Gowchis |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Have Some Pride |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
First to the Wire |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Awesome Image |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Gone With It |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Moving |
12.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Red Carpet Cat |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Vigorously Juan |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Looks Good N a Tux |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Curly Creek |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Julia’s Summer |
30.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Time to Play |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Majestic Authority |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Rag Top |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Gia Lula |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Yesterday’s News |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Into Glamour |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Sauce On Side |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Stylitude |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Goseecal |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Cynthiana |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Joe’sgoldenholiday |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Aura Rose |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Spin Me a Kiss |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Resky Business |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Lady Beware (IRE) |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tonahutu (IRE) |
6.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Gogoula |
12.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
November Tale (IRE) |
12.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Morgan S. |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Gigantis |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Private Marini |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sindys Luck |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Overcomer |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Mr Ability |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Plain Wrap |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Coils Gold |
4.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Mystical Image |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
Thegloryisallmine |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Solomini |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Bahamian |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Arno’s Mane Man |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Afleet Ascent |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
It’s a New Year |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Landonese |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Good Guy Bad Guy |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Holy Ghost |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Typhoon Harry |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Knight Disruptor |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Spanish Hombre |
4.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
It’s The Ice (GB) |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Fritz Johansen |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Brimstoned |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
14 |
10 |
Alaskan Son (IRE) |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
David’s Memory |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Excessive Kid |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Fishel |
15.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Trifecta |
5.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Klondike Creek |
3.50 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Senator Robert |
0.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Buster Douglas (BRZ) |
15.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Arch Prince |
20.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Ample Sufficiency |
8.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Del Mar Debutante S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Spectator |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Just a Smidge |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Gas Station Sushi |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Poetic |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Moonshine Memories |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Gabrielleelizabeth |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Dancing Belle |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Piedi Bianchi |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
St Patrick’s Day |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Honeymoonz Over |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Restrainedvengence |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Major Cabbie |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Martin Riggs |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Instilled Regard |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Eskimo Roses |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Point Guard |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Blended Citizen |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Paladar |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Charming Ruler |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – John C. Mabee S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Goodyearforroses (IRE) |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cambodia |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Hillhouse High |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mrs McDougal |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Frenzified (GB) |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lady Valeur (IRE) |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Amboseli |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Pretty Girl (ARG) |
8.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Barleysugar (IRE) |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Madame Stripes (ARG) |
8.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Insta Erma |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Decked Out |
6.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Kiss Me Now (BRZ) |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Luckarack |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
Scr |
12 |
11 |
Jes Jaa |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Willing to Travel |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Prohibition |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
G. A. Betting |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
He’saruler |
3.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
13 |
12 |
So Elite |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Airfoil |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sidepocket Champ |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Alex Rossi (ARG) |
4.50 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Aglimpseofgabby |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Prince of Silver |
20.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Fast Pass |
0.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Madelyn’s Wild Max |
15.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Saltini |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Ice Kat |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Amazon Cry |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Combat Zone |
3.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Cascade Rock (IRE) |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Kinematico |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Brulee |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Taniko |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Brilliant Light |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Principal Bob |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Cozmic One |
6.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Perfection Tale |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Activated |
20.00 |
11.4 |
22-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lucky Whalen |
15.00 |
13.6 |
26-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.