September 1, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Remesses | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hard Arch | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spectacular One | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Topgallant | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Day Tomorrow | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Union Forever | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roosevelt | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Inhibition | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Journey | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Humid | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hold That Smile | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mis Viola | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit of Shanghai | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Summer | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mama’s Kid | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Mom | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clean Living | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pure Pursuit | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Vargas | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Sixes | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Milhaud | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Impression | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shaky Alibi | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreams of Valor | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Member State (GB) | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hes Knot Unusual | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Hardcore Troubador | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Magico | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Matlock | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rico Argentine | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome Heights | 10.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saldamente | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Way Gone | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | City of Light | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Towards the Light | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mister Mojo | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zap Again | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Zipman | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | New Dancer | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cats Blame | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Duke of Fallbrook | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Bellerin | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Air On Fire | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lighthouse Point | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Spooky Woods | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Longstocking | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | That’s a Lady | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Lilly | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Knk’s Dolce Vita | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reiki Baby | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosie My Rosie | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shakti | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Madam | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Utana | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Speakers | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halo Ahead | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hotsy Dotsy | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zillinda | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gee Street | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rolling Shadow | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soul Sound | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tangeline | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Apphia | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – I’m Smokin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Bookies Luck | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cono | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Drizzy | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sir Valentine | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smokem | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Continental Divide | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Unpossible | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ministersdontparty | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Get Em Up Scout | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Tough But Nice | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | General Ike | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | American League | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Alaskan Son (IRE) | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Lord of Chaos | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cowboy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Excessive Kid | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Path of David | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pound Piece (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Atomic Rule | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Moxie | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Buymeabond | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Guggenheim | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Woody’s Folly | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.