August 30, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cute Knows Cute | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pasadena Princess | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dialed to Go | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Trust Fund Kitty | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Winsinfashion | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snaked | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hay Baby Girl | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Put It On Ice | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Corps de Ballet | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prize Exhibit (GB) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamarcher | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Do the Dance | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shehastheritestuff | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Napper Tandy | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Californiasummer | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blissful Lady | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Feeling the Heat | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Argumentative | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Knowitallhousewife | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Team Astrology | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wicked Old Fashion | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | On a Toot | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sundarita | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Candy Boss | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Ninja | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anchor Baby | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Song of Ekati | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Dorian | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Norwegian Spy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Shopper | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pomp and Party | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carrie | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Ju Ju | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pirate Flag | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Candy Bark | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Salten Sapity | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Robin’s Love | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Instant Reflex | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Marley’s Freedom | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Kentan Road | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arunachala | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crayon | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Santoku | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Benchy | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tiffany Diamond | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | In Heat | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kitty’s Girl | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Spender | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Generous Portion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Show It N Moe It | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hold That Smile | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 4 | Spiced Perfection | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Family Girl | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharona Sunset | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | One Fast Broad | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Empress of Lov | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Doe | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clean Living | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | It’s About Alex | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cordiality | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salsita | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Norris | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | West Coast Bias | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Warm Endowment | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peach Cove (NZ) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Comet Sixty Two | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nicarra (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lynne’s Legacy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Masco Yodeler | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Send a Buck | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Silver Fury | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On the Right | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flip the Coin Jan | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Old School Ike | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Axelrod | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Frankie Machine | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Take Charge Deputy | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Craft Brew | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ima Take Charge | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Builder | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dare to Enter | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.