August 28, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Discretionary Marq | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speightful Kitten | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mydadfloyd | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Playwright | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Heart in Hand | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Space Key | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Side Tracks | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Katina Got Even | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desirous | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lynnie B | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Isotope | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bahnahno | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | North Eight Street | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Easy Way Out | 1.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diamonds N Stones | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Scarly Charly | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No Hiding Place | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cautious Giant | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lifelong Dreamer | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Futile | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6A | 6 | Marriedtothemusic | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Fleet Attitude | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Story to Tell | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Final Flurry | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bixby Lou | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Front Row Debbie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Mizzencat | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aife | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 16A | 16 | More Than a Legend | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brown Paper | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Rain in Spain | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bitterroot | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Butcher Knife | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grevillea | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cleo | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | French Dressing | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Mama’s Red Hat | 50.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Matinee Babe | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Late for Church | 15.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Golden Seal | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Gemmy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Guy | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rockin Jo | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Honor Up | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mango M | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Panama Ed | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rollo Lothbrok | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leap to Glory | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Jayvien | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Minister’s Strike | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Great Samurai | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bellows | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Money Train | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Incorporate | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thirsty Actor | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sanavi | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hot and Heavy | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Asset | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Indian School | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Orecchiette | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buffalo Miss | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Vigor | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eloweasel | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Time (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fields of Song (IRE) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Key | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pray for Bourbon | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bigkat and Camille | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | First Charmer | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Better Talk Now S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aquamarine | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Hieroglyphics | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adonis Creed | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snap Decision | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blind Ambition | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Holiday Stone | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Small Bear | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Salty Smile | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | English Soul | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viradia | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Berning Rose | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Madgirl | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Halo Laelia | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nazay | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady of Miracles | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fiveinthemorning | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Blue Atlas | 2.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Imperfect Union | 5.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Unparalleled | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stone Cold Flirt | 5.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Kreesie | 30.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Treasure | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.