August 26, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Good Magic | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Glass Bridge | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Belle Tapisserie | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Escarapela | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | High North | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Road to Meath | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hazit | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Lane | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Kabang | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Memories of Peter | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Mojo | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Richmond Street | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Holiday Bonus | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surprise Twist | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Son of a Saint | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Focus Group | 3.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Bond | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Marshall Eddy | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Neepawa | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He Takes Charge | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magnanimus Man | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chirping | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strike Me Down | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Another | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sidewinder | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Blockade | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | The Best Candy | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Fortune Cookie | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paradise Island | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Empirically | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Shaft of Light | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Threefiveindia | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sticksstatelydude | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aquamarine | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Angry Moon | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lex Vegas | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ostrolenka | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Candid Desire | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spartiatis | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Royal Son | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lieutenant Colonel | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sycamore Lane | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tathqeef | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Champagne | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ray’s The Bar (GB) | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bonus Points | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Cloontia | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Profiteer | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cerise’s Prince | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Poshsky | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Personal Ensign S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Songbird | 0.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forever Unbridled | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flora Dora | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Eskenformoney | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Going for Broke | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ketel One Ballerina S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Approval | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paulassilverlining | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carina Mia | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Highway Star | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Birdatthewire | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | By the Moon | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Distinta | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – H. Allen Jerkens S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | American Anthem | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Practical Joke | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ann Arbor Eddie | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phi Beta Express | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Dozing | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coal Front | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Takaful | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Silence | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Shot | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Forego S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Drefong | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mind Your Biscuits | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Slew | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divining Rod | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stallwalkin’ Dude | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Very Very Stella | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tale of S’avall | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tommy Macho | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tom’s Ready | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ross (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sword Dancer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frank Conversation | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bigger Picture | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Money Multiplier | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hunter O’Riley | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sadler’s Joy | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Erupt (IRE) | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Idaho (IRE) | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Travers S. Presented By Nyra Bets
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | West Coast | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Girvin | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gunnevera | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Irap | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Samaritan | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapwrit | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Always Dreaming | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cloud Computing | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | McCraken | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fayeq | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giuseppe the Great | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lookin At Lee | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Woodford Reserve Ballston Spa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Eli | 0.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Antonoe | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Time and Motion | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Roca Rojo (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dickinson | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | On Leave | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Herecomesyourman | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prognostication | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Battle Ready | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | All About Voodoo | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Praise the Moon | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Causeway | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wingman | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nile Prince | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mohican | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Review | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Admirals Cove | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Romanologist | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Papi | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.