August 26, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Browns Gap |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
El Ciclon |
30.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Giant’s Voice |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Mad Patriot |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
True Diplomacy |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Big Money Machine |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
8 |
5 |
Tero |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
6 |
Cookies Are Good |
6.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Colton’s Honor |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Major Hit |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Flying Rocket |
0.80 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Judiths Nathan |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Haybub |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Cheating |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Explosive Band |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Wild Lil’ Kitten |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Earn the Gold |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Tigger Town |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
My Johnny Be Good |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Keep Me Grounded |
1.60 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Wild Mongolia |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Phil’sfirstfactum |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Potochon |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
War Artist |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Stormin Charlotte |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Lonesome Palm |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Southern Sis |
1.80 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
5 |
Flash Jak |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Publicist |
3.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
Scr |
11 |
7 |
Telesa |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Graceful Heart |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Antia |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
Scr |
10 |
6 |
Rashette |
4.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Coquivacoa |
5.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Princess Ariel |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
12 |
8 |
Zena Rules |
30.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Lemon Royal |
1.60 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Panamex |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Cyber Josh |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Runaway Bull |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Starship Danny |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cotton Colors |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Matthews Mystery |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Gone Deep |
8.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Global Entry |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Beneficiary |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Mr. Tickle |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Top of the Page |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
7 |
Jaiden’s Best |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Devise |
4.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Zitman |
6.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Megeve |
5.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Classic Move |
10.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Silver Beach |
10.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
Scr |
10 |
6 |
Manolete |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
American Tzar |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Over Limit |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Market Strength |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Madroos |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Leverkusen |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Gun Carriage |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Quenane |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Adagio |
2.50 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Command Peter |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Whoop Ti Do |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Exclusive Reward |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Traffic Express |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Yo No Se |
5.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Tide of the Desert |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
No Denial |
8.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
Scr |
9 |
5 |
Whooo Here We Go |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Brookside |
30.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
|
11 |
7 |
Stravinsky’s Quest |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Darn That Parker |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
6 |
Il Nonno |
15.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
|
14 |
9 |
Alarcon |
10.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
|
13 |
8 |
Lunch Break |
20.00 |
12.4 |
23-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Lefty Comming |
30.00 |
13.9 |
26-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Red Carats |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Winking At Thedude |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Little Plumber |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Vermillion Blaze |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Nonno Nino |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Clean Mind |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
New Champion |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Mr. Morningstar |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Smiling Mason |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
13 |
12 |
Night Rythm |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Fueledbydrama |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Dandy Luis |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mario’s Revenge |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Cottonall |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
Salute and Serve |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Warranted |
12.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pair Pair Tie |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rachel’s Warrior |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
J. T. Munnings |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Brave Request |
10.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ask the Heir |
20.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Home Power |
30.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Sugarloaf Key H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Sweet Khaleesi |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sweet Tooth Haven |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lirica |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
More Than a Party |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Last Kiss |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Arty’sbourbongirl |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Baby I’m Worth It |
50.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Money Or Love |
4.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
6 |
Night Before |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Serenity Moon |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Manuscript |
2.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Moxie |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
11 |
8 |
Riomar |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
13 |
10 |
Search for Sammy |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Tale Is Told |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lady Alondra |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
16 |
16 |
Shes Got the Luck |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Fend for Yourself |
30.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
7 |
Mistiz |
15.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Spring Hollow |
30.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
United Song |
20.00 |
11.9 |
22-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bourbon Trace |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Scr |
12 |
9 |
Dragon Rouge |
20.00 |
12.1 |
23-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Rava Din |
30.00 |
14.6 |
28-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.