August 26, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Que Chistoso | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dream Police | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Real Big Deal | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost of War | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Woodstock Memory | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mostly Cloudy | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Matador | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Anita G. | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mama’s Sugar | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tee Em Eye | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Lucy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Cloud | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empress Deelites | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Not So Easy | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Crystal | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Chattykat | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Angel Allie | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Vallestina | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Little Jude | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Loujean | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Merrily Merrily | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Precious Dixie | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | G Q Covergirl | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Beau Square | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Late ‘n Left | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Empress Rules | 0.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Moon Kitty | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swirling | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cash Prize | 10.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | High Drama | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | True Royalty | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fantastic Girl | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Journey | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Spice | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Tropez | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unchanged | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exuberance | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luminoso | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Johnny Ray | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Time for Cioppino | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Pegasus | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wildcat Kaos | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Southern Warlord | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Luke’s On Fire | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Charmalot | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mac McLovin | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Oh Man | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Bar | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Swede | 4.50 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nehemiah | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Romano | 5.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Virghazi | 12.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Typhoon | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cimpl Man | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skelton Pass | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Play Hard to Get | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tristan’s Trilogy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eckersley | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | County Lineman | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oregon | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Newsman (IRE) | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Shared Belief S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Gato Del Oro | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Battle of Midway | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gormley | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Klimt | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cistron | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Valor | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Stone Hands | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Beaumarchais | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Waldorf | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Run Like Rhett | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Chrome | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kona Dreams | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Red King | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | He Could | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Popyhowuspelcupcak | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Full Access | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Goodbye | 3.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Demonslayer | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tyler’s Tek | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pampers n’ Boots | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | We’re Just Sayin | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pat O’brien S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Danzing Candy | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Kobe’s Back | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moe Candy | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Denman’s Call | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Calculator | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Giant Expectations | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Home Run Kitten | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blameitonthelaw | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solid Wager | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Bird | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Hinx | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bottle Service | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tatar | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cayate | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Papa | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Accreditation | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Lovely Anzi | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Insubordination | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Rule Number Eight | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brahms Forest | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Chidamac | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Rolls Royce Deal | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Well Developed | 10.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Nino Fable | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ashley’s Song | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.