August 26, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | King of the Score | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Assaulter | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Senor Blanco | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bowknot Billy | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Hide the Evidence | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Rooster Bay | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cairn | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lady Dozer | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catherine Eugenia | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Talent and Grace | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J Jett | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Artic Vortex | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Seven | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing High | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dandy Gal | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Church Road | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Case Cracker | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nook | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flin Flon | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crusader Girl Too | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chantses | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wayaway | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Atlantic Blue | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dial the Doctor | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’sadowntowngirl | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Curlin | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Away to Town | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Time | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Vbreeze | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Specialeyes | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight Mischief | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Franklin County | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Inkspired | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Mensch | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Congrats Given | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saidtomyself | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Beeja | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vinnardini | 3.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Petal Path | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cream of the Crop | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sturn Donna | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cuddle Me | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ain’t That Funny | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prada Storm | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glimmer of Light | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lakota Lucy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ms. Big Cash | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mountain Momma | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bet She Wins | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Karenina | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cubs Win | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Drop Twist | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aviating | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Satiate | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Real de Jalpa | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tinderella | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cooper’s Keeper | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Go Bonnie Go | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mayor Byrne Rocks | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quick Study | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Refashion | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hope N Wishes | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star of the Market | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Kara’s Angel | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Something Kinky | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Street Biz | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tam | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Barb n’ Don | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sing One Song | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pura Lica | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Launch Away | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Kitty | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kalispell | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Revive | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.