August 25, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Strong Guns | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Canyon Lake | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coronas Statement | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fabulously Fast Game | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jls Book of Psalms | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dlj Imma B Famous | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ima Fighting Gator | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Countryfied Man | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Absolute Shot | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dashin Tee Pie | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mafia Hit Man | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jf First Patriot | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pop Rocket Jess | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Duncans Comment | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bye Bye Salty | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | W Project | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Prize Polly | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fight On Fantasy | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hakunna Matata | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Classic Gambler | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mauvais Boj | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Olivias Dragon | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Jessa Ladies Man | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Runaway Sinsation | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | McM Ice Breaker | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fired Up Perry | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sinsational Corona | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Town Tiger | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Sizzlin On Da Bayou | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tm Dees Shine | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ttt Terrible Corona | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | El Nilo | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Leaving You | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rosies Corona | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fh Tochin | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hez All Fast | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jrs Arunawayeffort | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bbs On Da Corona | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Streakin Fast Winner | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chrome Lugnuts | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hi Class Pegasus | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hero for Tee | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Bomb | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Southern Belle | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moonlight and You | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Special Dashing Miss | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Cajun Cover Girl | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jess a Fast Ferarri | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dibs | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jla Toucha Leaving U | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing in the Cash | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mps Rappin for Bux | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dashing Bye Presence | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blu Jeans | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Close Dancing | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jusgivit Away | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dashin Bambam | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Aggie Mania | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sixtythree Coronas | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Toastin Dash | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Msmholydownillusion | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Im Mighty Fast | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diamonds Agouti | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | First Prize Chad | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Damthaluck | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Bark | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coronas Purse | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Creed | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Passme Some Joy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Time Ta Toast | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kellies Strong Hope | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Black Ice | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ttt Dashn Fa Georgia | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guidrys Tradition | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hi Rollin | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Private Cafe | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eyes On Brant | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kjr Rocket Rio | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bye Bye Agouti | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Madam Secretary B | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jls Sweetlilcoss | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shezjessrunaway | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dream of a Symphony | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nota Ordinary Bear | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Oak Tres Special | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mps Triple Tequila | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Smart Fdd | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chetts Fast Prize | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Caterpillarpuller | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.