August 25, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Irish Dame | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | You’re the Reason | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glorious Venezuela | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sly Humor | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Fair | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’sluckythatway | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Mint Julep Taffy | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wealthy Shipman | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Space Cadet | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz Adore | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Boom Boom | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Princess Kendra | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Longden (GB) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Xten | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Treasure Hunter | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizona | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ayacara (GB) | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taranis | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bank Walker | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | June Two Four | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Cause | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Que Chistoso | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Rye Patch | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Oh Newman | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Indygo Bo | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Atomic Rule | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Movies | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | So Elite | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Malko (IRE) | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Burger and Fries (FR) | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hay Dude (GB) | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lazzam (GB) | 4.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | South Texas Lingo | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pepper Crown | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Thorpe d’Oro | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Camino de Estrella | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Union Rebel | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wit and Wisdom | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Borg | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Super Duper Cooper | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Liberty Park | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ziconic | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Strike | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Ferguson | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pacific Coast Hwy | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Mystery | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Opera House (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Goodwood Mirage (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Il Segreto (FR) | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uber Star | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alsatian | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unapologetic | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cafe Flavor | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Offshore | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Tranquility Lake S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Faithfully | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shenandoah Queen | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Surrender | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chalon | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Midnight Toast | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Motown Lady | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mended | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Autumn Flower | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | West Princess | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dovetail | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Boss Move | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luna’s Empire | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justabean | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fly as a Falcon | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quinnie | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | We Will Re Joyce | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spacerika | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dream of Eagles | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.