Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 24, 2017

August 24, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – New York Turf Writers Cup H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 6 Mr. Hot Stuff 8.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Alcazar de Maram 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Diplomat 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Show Court (IRE) 12.00 4.1 8-1
12 10 Choral Society 15.00 4.3 8-1
10 8 Swansea Mile (IRE) 4.50 5.4 10-1
2 2 Modem (GB) 3.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 All the Way Jose 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Colla Pier (IRE) 12.00 6 11-1 Scr
3 3 Portrade (IRE) 6.00 6 11-1 Scr
11 9 Three Kingdoms (IRE) 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 7 Casino Markets (IRE) 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 1 Little Lu 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Warrior’s Silver 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Card Club 20.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Bonnie Scot 8.00 4 8-1
5 4 La Contessa 2.50 4 8-1
3 2 Tied Up 5.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Strategic Dreams 4.00 5.9 11-1
6 5 Super Duper Girl 20.00 7.1 14-1
1 1 Yes I Dance 5.00 7.3 14-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Combat Controller 3.00 3.7 7-1 Scr
8 7 Strike Midnight 3.50 3.9 7-1
10 9 Caribbean 2.50 4.9 9-1
3 2 Baratti 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Djulpan 6.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Harbor King 30.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Gotham News 15.00 6.3 12-1
11 10 Astute Warrior 15.00 6.6 12-1
5 4 Twenty Four Seven 4.00 7 13-1
2 1 Steamboat Bill 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 3 Dot Matrix 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Fleet Irish 5.00 1.1 2-1
3 1 Born for a Storm 15.00 3.1 6-1
9B 9 Terry O Geri 0.00 4.3 8-1
2A 2 Heavy Meddle 0.00 4.3 8-1
4B 4 Remstin 0.00 4.3 8-1
1 2 Altesino 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Jewel Can Disco 0.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Bourbon Empire 6.00 6 11-1
7A 7 The Caretaker 0.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Industrial Policy 3.00 1.6 3-1
11 10 Carmenere 20.00 2.7 5-1
12 12 Merilore 3.50 4.3 8-1 Scr
7 7 Miss Aja Brown 5.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Zeven 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Just Got Out 2.50 5.7 11-1 Scr
10 9 My Good Venezuela 4.00 7 13-1
6 6 Chow Fun 12.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Queenofthechannel 12.00 8 15-1
2 2 Baronet 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Indygita 15.00 10.7 20-1
3 3 Ice Palace 30.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Tough Old Bird 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Hansen’s Help 15.00 4 8-1
5 5 Scarlett Jo Hansen 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Iwishirish 2.50 5.3 10-1
10 10 Desert Affair 6.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Yonka 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Frost Delay 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Irish Sweetheart 12.00 6.9 13-1
12 12 Verona Blue 50.00 7.1 14-1
7 7 Indian Gem 3.00 8 15-1
1 1 Anna Liffey 30.00 10 19-1
2 2 B J’s Valentine 50.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 9 Bareeqa 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Table for Six 2.50 2.7 5-1
11 10 Khaleesi Kat 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Eighth Commandment 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Pinchbeck 4.50 6.4 12-1
9 9 Forever for Always 30.00 7 13-1 Scr
7 7 Ten Penny Princess 10.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Elostorm 20.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Young Anna Lee 6.00 8 15-1 Scr
1 1 Kitty Maddnes 20.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Jennifer’s Legacy 12.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Sugar Mags 20.00 10.3 19-1
12 12 Mo Promise 20.00 11.1 21-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Weekend Hideaway 15.00 1.7 3-1 Scr
1 1 Rectify 4.00 2.1 4-1 Scr
10 10 Fish Trappe Road 0.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Bustin It 8.00 4.4 8-1 Scr
2A 2 Ostrolenka 0.00 5.6 11-1
9 7 Celtic Chaos 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 5 T Loves a Fight 3.50 6.3 12-1
3A 3 Brimstone 0.00 6.4 12-1
8 6 Gypsum Johnny 3.00 6.6 12-1
5 4 Riff Raff 12.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Riskaverse S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 11 Defiant Honor 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Let It Ride Mom 20.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Lido 8.00 6.1 12-1
14 14 Tanya’s Gem 30.00 6.7 13-1 Scr
5 5 Berned 12.00 6.9 13-1
15 15 Scheme 20.00 7 13-1 Scr
6 6 Bernadiva 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Chubby Star 4.50 8.1 15-1
3 3 Pretty City Dancer 20.00 8.6 16-1
12 12 Cherry Lodge 3.50 8.9 17-1
7 7 Fizzy Friday (GB) 6.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Talaaqy 10.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 Rubilinda 2.50 10.4 20-1 Scr
8 8 Danceland 6.00 10.7 20-1
1 1 Jordan’s Henny 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 13 Honor Up 1.60 2.3 4-1 Scr
12 12 New York Hero 3.00 4.7 9-1 Scr
9 9 Nate Can’t Wait 8.00 4.9 9-1 Scr
5 5 Phone Funky Munky 2.50 5.4 10-1
2 2 Can’tweallgetalong 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 News Anchor 4.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Wicked Huntsman 30.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Banker’s Island 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Fun Prospect 3.50 7.4 14-1
3 3 Bourbonfuhrme 12.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 English Channical 20.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Now a Factor 6.00 9 17-1
11 11 Bit the Bullet 20.00 12.3 23-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.