August 24, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – New York Turf Writers Cup H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Mr. Hot Stuff |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Alcazar de Maram |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Diplomat |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Show Court (IRE) |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Choral Society |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Swansea Mile (IRE) |
4.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Modem (GB) |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
All the Way Jose |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Colla Pier (IRE) |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Portrade (IRE) |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
11 |
9 |
Three Kingdoms (IRE) |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Casino Markets (IRE) |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Little Lu |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Warrior’s Silver |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Card Club |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Bonnie Scot |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
La Contessa |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Tied Up |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Strategic Dreams |
4.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Super Duper Girl |
20.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Yes I Dance |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Combat Controller |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Strike Midnight |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Caribbean |
2.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Baratti |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Djulpan |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Harbor King |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Gotham News |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Astute Warrior |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Twenty Four Seven |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Steamboat Bill |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Dot Matrix |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Fleet Irish |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Born for a Storm |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
9B |
9 |
Terry O Geri |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2A |
2 |
Heavy Meddle |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4B |
4 |
Remstin |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
2 |
Altesino |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Jewel Can Disco |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bourbon Empire |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7A |
7 |
The Caretaker |
0.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Industrial Policy |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Carmenere |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Merilore |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Miss Aja Brown |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Zeven |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Just Got Out |
2.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
My Good Venezuela |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Chow Fun |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Queenofthechannel |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Baronet |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Indygita |
15.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Ice Palace |
30.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Tough Old Bird |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Hansen’s Help |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Scarlett Jo Hansen |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Iwishirish |
2.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Desert Affair |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Yonka |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Frost Delay |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Irish Sweetheart |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Verona Blue |
50.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Indian Gem |
3.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Anna Liffey |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
B J’s Valentine |
50.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Bareeqa |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Table for Six |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Khaleesi Kat |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Eighth Commandment |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Pinchbeck |
4.50 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Forever for Always |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Ten Penny Princess |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Elostorm |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Young Anna Lee |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Kitty Maddnes |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Jennifer’s Legacy |
12.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sugar Mags |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Mo Promise |
20.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Weekend Hideaway |
15.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Rectify |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Fish Trappe Road |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bustin It |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
2A |
2 |
Ostrolenka |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Celtic Chaos |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
T Loves a Fight |
3.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3A |
3 |
Brimstone |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Gypsum Johnny |
3.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Riff Raff |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Riskaverse S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Defiant Honor |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Let It Ride Mom |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Lido |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Tanya’s Gem |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Berned |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Scheme |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Bernadiva |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Chubby Star |
4.50 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Pretty City Dancer |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Cherry Lodge |
3.50 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Fizzy Friday (GB) |
6.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Talaaqy |
10.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Rubilinda |
2.50 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Danceland |
6.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Jordan’s Henny |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Honor Up |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
New York Hero |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Nate Can’t Wait |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Phone Funky Munky |
2.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Can’tweallgetalong |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
News Anchor |
4.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Wicked Huntsman |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Banker’s Island |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Fun Prospect |
3.50 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bourbonfuhrme |
12.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
English Channical |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Now a Factor |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Bit the Bullet |
20.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.