August 23, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Michael G. Walsh Novice S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | My Afleet | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wigwam Baby | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Curve of Stones | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | New Member (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Surprising Soul | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Moscato (GB) | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Macnicholson (IRE) | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zio Elio | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bobabout (IRE) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miguel Grau | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Destin | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Donegal Moon | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seeking the Soul | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Jewel | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bodhisattva | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elusive Mischief | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Belle Tapisserie | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Dunhill | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Navy Commander | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Cheerful | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit Fly | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Machismo | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strike | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street Copper | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Devine Entry | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Power Boss | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Enduring Erin | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arewehavingfunyet | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Paradime | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frostie Anne | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Enuff | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cats Halo | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Northern | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Baby Bear’s Soup | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liberal Spin | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Consumerconfidence | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spectrolite | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daddy’s Home | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warm Springs | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inventor’s Gate | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | E J’s Legacy | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Gemologister | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9B | 9 | Now in a Drive | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Morocco | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Oiseau de Guerre | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13A | 13 | Stun | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jahaafel | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Le Pin (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Zap Zap Zap | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11B | 11 | Winning Element | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Business Expense | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Fully Vested | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Unforeseeable | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Repetitious | 2.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 8 | Quintus Augustus | 4.50 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bubba Meiser | 3.50 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tapella | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Super | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bogulator | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Presumptuous | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenly Grace | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Parade | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Economies of Scale | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red Curls | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brilliant Missy | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – John’s Call S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Red Rifle | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Infinite Wisdom | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Montclair (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nessy | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Singh (GB) | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | St. Louie | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Renown (GB) | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Voodoo Song | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Orino | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nevisian Sky | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cliffs of Dover | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yummy Bear | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The J Y | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leaveematthegate | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Harlan | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zigarch | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Souper Colors | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Money Laundering | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fullback Foye | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Private John | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mast Step | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Our American Star | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Miss My Father | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | U Rock It | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nut Nut | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Elbow Room | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Circumnavigate | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dublin Express | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Monster Boy | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Man of Chrome | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.