August 20, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Ramona Lover | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flower Heart Deer | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Justice Rules | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Candee Topper | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Silic’s Angel | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bona Fide Image | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sea Code | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angel in Flight | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Burn Me Twice | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aristocratic | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Munnie | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One I’m Running To | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Blue | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Regal Born | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Spend It | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Aim | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charming Morty | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caray | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adventurous | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hawks Peak | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artistic Ab | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tommy Grossman | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chrisiscookin | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Pantsonfire (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scandal | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Causeforcommotion | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cho Has Zip | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Literary Critic | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glory and Power | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blossom Trail Miss | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Miz Tianjin | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Snowdust | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Candy Ruler | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jenna’s Faith | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papercoversrock | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Haveiture Way | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamy Gal | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Adios Cali | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beau Square | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All of a Sudden | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Man Chuckles | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Night’s Watch | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Van Cortlandt | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Billy Big (IRE) | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sutton Impact | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Six Point Rack | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Most Determined | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Knight’s Dream (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sahara Storm | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Write in Candidate | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Plane Lucky | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Go On Mary | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Classy Tune | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pleasant as Pie | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Discatsonthesquare | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Anythingcanhappen | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sandy’s Surprise | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freedom Journey | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Precious Time | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Jude | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Vai | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Dashin Ashen | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Del Mar Mile H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bal a Bali (BRZ) | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Storm | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blackjackcat | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vyjack | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Le Ken (ARG) | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Om | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | St Patrick’s Day | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honeymoonz Over | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Zatter | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Salsa King | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jungle Warfare | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Haulin’ Freight | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | City Plan | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trigger Warning | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midknight Attache | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Ghost | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ok Doll | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucy De | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arethusa (GB) | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Force (GER) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pistol Packin Rose | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brooks House | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allowances (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heavenly Thought | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Domestic Vintage | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bombilate | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hacktivism | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.