August 20, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Cash Bonus | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unscathed | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Bourbon Candy | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wildwood Dancer | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Armando’s Star | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’ Rapper | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Ragu | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saturdays Hangover | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New York Boy | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Bruce | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pray for Kitten | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heza Tinker | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ready to Fight | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Luvin Bullies | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Church Road | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Conquest Tiz One | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Recognition | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fort Marsh | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shackin Up | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Emily’s Entourage | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Bubuzela | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wildwood Scat | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goddess of Kip | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Holy Cookie | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sark Lady | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Sperling | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | American Merlot | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Tannah’blu | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She’s Fine Tuned | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sea Diva | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bibi’s Baby | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glamala | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Logi | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prada Storm | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Betruetoyourschool | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | G P’s Girl | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Lode | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Lily | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Queenoftheroad | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Ruthie | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Away She Glows | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Posh Ruler | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | McHenry | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Mo Money | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Carlos | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Red Butte | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Disco | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Win D Prado | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Estragon | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Gift | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charlie’s Affair | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Nice Slewish Boy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Walk Tiz Way | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.