August 19, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Maryland Pride |
1.40 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sarah’s Treasure |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Brushed by Fire |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Broad Reach |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Love’s Legend |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Unclenedwhodrank |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Wise Men |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Hot Friesia |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Captain Trips |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
3 |
Oyster Soup |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
6 |
Grecian Prince |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
14A |
14 |
Minor Legend |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
4 |
Mr. Magician |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Earned It |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
13 |
8 |
My Vet’s a Genius |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
All Alone |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
Scr |
15A |
15 |
Tempt Me Twice |
0.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Good Reasoning |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Vision of Green |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Kelly Tough |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
Scr |
1 |
9 |
Markakis |
4.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
7 |
No Knock Raid |
8.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
5 |
Colmont Fire |
12.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Senor Quickie |
6.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
She Rolls |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Phantom Shot |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
No Picnic |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Better Way |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Bring Me Answers |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Hell of Afire |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Marie From Parie |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
She Be Fierce |
5.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sazerac Girl |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Riley’s Choice |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Participate |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
My Sistersledge |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Shifra Magician |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Capucine |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Z Nation |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Head Games |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Eyerish Inspired |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Jumping Michelle |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Margie’s Money |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Firey Child |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Miss Jackie G |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
8 |
Enchanted Star |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
6 |
Kitty Zip |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Greasedlightning |
4.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Gracies Bandit |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
Scr |
10 |
7 |
Fanniebellefleming |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Menorah Lora |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
Scr |
12 |
9 |
Child’s Play |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Wicked Sister |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Find S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
English Minister |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Phlash Phelps |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Talk Show Man |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Ghost Bay |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Tizzarunner |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
How’s Your Sugar |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Dothat Dance |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Just Howard |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Daniel Le Deux |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
No Bull Addiction |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Miss Disco S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Faze the Nation |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Ascertain |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Hailey’s Flip |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Lucky in Malibu |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Crabcakes |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Le Weekend |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Saint Main Event |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Troublesome |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Misty On Pointe |
4.50 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – All Brandy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Bawlmer Hon |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
De Marquee |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Northern Smile |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Devilish Love |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Daylight Ahead |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Look Who’s Talking |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Nickyrocksforpops |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Complete St. |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Shirleys Curls |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Good Roll |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Fenton’s Four |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Spectacular Plum |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Cordmaker |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Orient Point |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Hermans Gold |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Tattooed |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Blame the Kids |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
I’m a Genius |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Pascal Chant |
6.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Start With Yes |
3.50 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bo Go |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Poplar Avenue |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Freedom Storm |
10.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Parade of Freedom |
12.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
Scr |
13 |
12 |
Edify |
20.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Clubman |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
To Blave |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Self Start |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Willie B Mine |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Victory Chimes |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
No More Talk |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Legend’s Hope |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Cherokee Spirit |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Super Buddy |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Kitty’s Right |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Brindabella |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Tizadoozi |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Aine |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Fly and Flutter |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Isabella Rocks |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
7 |
Fireheart |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Twelve Tricks |
4.50 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Anthem Singer |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Janealee |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Trulywicked |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
9A |
9 |
Rubys Fire |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
4A |
4 |
Congrats Graduate |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Rose Colored |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
What Did U Do |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Caladonia |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sally’s Wolf |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Ridgemont High |
4.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Carly Angel |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.