August 19, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Great Skellig | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Second Street | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sanfilipo | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alls Well | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crafty Colonel | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Forever Di | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rory | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lil’ Charlie | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lefty Comming | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Elusive Harmony | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ariel’s Flyer | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roll It Gal | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gran Chama | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rara | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Candy’s Lady | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | G P Ricky | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scarlett Del | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valid Wildfire | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Motion’s First | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Disco Man | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mizzentown | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Player | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Cantaclaro | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Uncle Mace | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Go Cristian Go | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dino Dude | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Explosive Band | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Weaponized | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | City Roc | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Illustrious Son | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Francesco Appeal | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brave Enrique | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie the Greek | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dont Come Knockin | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Entangled | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fantastic Kitten | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dizzy Gillespie | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vencedor | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Gear Jammer | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Burning Wild | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big City Heart | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turkomani | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aridaios | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Velvet Colors | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fierce Tide | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zhukov | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Francesco Blue | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Albert Charles | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Proud Enough | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Golden Kantharos | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Players Luck | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Lil’s Fast Boy | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Equity | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sonofaderbywinner | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dardo | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | King Power | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diamond Mint | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gone Jak | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Wigglin Jack | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Curlin’s Mistress | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mauras Forever | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Jill | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Decant | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Samurai’sfirstlady | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Money Factor | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Patriot Storm | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boston Mine | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aunty Mo | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Krazy Kathy | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Total Temper | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Speed Star | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Toni Ann’s Miracle | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sol Dat Sugar | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil B Quick | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Midnight Soiree | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baylor | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dixie Talk | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quickluckycoco | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Morning Grace | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mighty Fine | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cholita Star | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storybook Ending | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pure Cotton | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cousin Tino | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sunset Catch | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bolara | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Skipper Dancer | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Never Burn a Copy | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Lookinoverus | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My What About Me | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Don’t Noc It | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Another Softball | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Luv U Lots | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Cockeyed Festus | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nation U S A | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | G T’s Graemie | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Alarcon | 30.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Daddy Duke | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Taverni Bay | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Switched | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sailer’s Companion | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shot Jak | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | American Phantom | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | That Charlie | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Icono | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dattts Arties Boy | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Key the Storm | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wise Warrior | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grubered | 3.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Talked Out | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Tortugas S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Kroy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Racings My Game | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Diddley | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Porter Street | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Love Conquers | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | He’s the One | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Coleman Rocky | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Durocher | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Prince Tito | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sainte Therese | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Grace | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Maserati | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chief Bow No Move | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Yo No Fui | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Peacfulwarriorgirl | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ola Yola | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Point | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Lovely Grace | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mistiz | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Military Brat | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Uno Cita | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | J. P. Calling | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Kassady Light | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.