August 19, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Off Road Princess |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Racing Kane |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Seemenowcatchmelater |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
King of the Bunnys |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Crawfish Wagon |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bumblebee |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Streaking Agouti |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
First Prize Jet |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Patriots Leaving You |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Banditoe Gold |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Miraculous Miranda |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Rt Kool Mattie |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Tk Zoomaway |
3.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mighty Pocket Rocket |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Gussie |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Gentilly Dash Stakes S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Magic Black Jack |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ardor |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Wild Tycoon |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
One Dimple |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Pyc First Prize Mia |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Royal Aztec |
2.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Fancy Mamacita |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Sheza Leavin You |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Pistols N Pansies |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Queen Mitz |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Fast and Fine |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Jrs Runaway Princess |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Paddys Quick Boogie |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Pk Betcha Boots |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Miss Copa Clara |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Ella Es Caliente |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Flared Up Whoa |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Docs Pyc |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
One Foxy Runaway |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Bbang |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Lrh Little Joe |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Carters Royal |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Imgametoo |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Six Karat Cartel |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Jrs Coronas Hotshot |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
The Royal Chick |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Ldn Perrys Dalaw |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Audobon Stakes S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Jet Black Presence |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Rbd Jessaswingin |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Shez the Bomb |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Jet Black Rogue |
1.40 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Runaway Balance |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Toast This Mvp |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ms Beauty Betty |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Igottagiterdone |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Heza the Juan |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Rlr Ultimate Corona |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Eton |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Magic Piloto Man |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Featuring Fast Jess |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Carry On Curl |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Old Time Feeling |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Cowboyz Hotrod |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pattishotthesheriff |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Treme S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
One Hot Flame |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
First Prize Bourban |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bankin On Bux |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Zooboo |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Hez Kwik |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
San Lorenzo Corona |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Royal Quick Patriot |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Lil Bro Big Streak |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Blue Eyed Cartel |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Swinginstar |
12.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Yo Bean |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Bjs Magic Wings |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Call to Action |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Pool of Royalty |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Tizthebiz |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Operator On Fire |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Geaux Kool Mary |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sizzlin Mr Perry |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
One Classy Lad |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Buxamillion |
8.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Jess Blueby Quick |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Call Me Sizzlin |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Run for Us Run |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mi Sugar Sugar |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Heza Fast Dilly |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Jls Mighty Reb Mr |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Eyewantbux |
8.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Aint None Better |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Special Hit |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Zoomin Bon Bon |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.