August 14, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Everything Magic | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Yankee | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Ruby | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweetrayofsunshine | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Non Finisce Mai | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jemmabelle | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Renegade | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Schema | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Vigor | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Hollywood Royal | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | In It for the Gold | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Serious I Candy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Boom Boom Boom | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Spanker | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Caroline | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Holding Aces | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Bear’s Soup | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Killybegs Captain | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Junket | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Class Won | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Farm | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cinderela El Crome | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Pocket Book | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paris Cruise | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Gidu (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tom’s Music | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blue Lute | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scatjack | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snapper Sinclair | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nepthene | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Best Candy | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Scatnap | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Stunning | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Novique | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Overdramatic | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mizz Tutu | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Milaya | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Okbyecya | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Splash of Sass | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Win With Pride | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Any Questions | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mollica | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Perplexed | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin At Blessing | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mascarello | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River Knight | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keepingitquiet | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | New Jersey John | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Money Train | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Surtap | 3.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Kangaroo Style | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Independent Worker | 30.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tizanillusion | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heavenly Score | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Battlement (GB) | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Annathela | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Orecchiette | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bigkat and Camille | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ramblin N Gamblin | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Saratoga Dew S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flattermefabulous | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Allison | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Literata | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jcs American Dream | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Legally Bay | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mecke’s Madalyn | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Snag | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Musical America | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Karma Delight | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Cordero (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Warm Springs | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Eucalyptus | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | River of Dreams | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mission Leader | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Honor Thy Father | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Perro Rojo | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Unexplained | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Arch Contender | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | King of All Media | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Illusion | 50.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.