August 13, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Friend of Liberty | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Makealittlelove | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Isotope | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leah’s Dream | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kissin Cassie | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Gobi | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forres Lily | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Miss Mo Mentum | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cash Out | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | City Day | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Night Owl | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Oldfashioned Style | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Critique | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Duper Girl | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kingdom’s Queen | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Lynah Rink | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Lady Margaret | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flick of an Eye | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kelsocait | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jules N Rome | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shes a True Beauty | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | C Islandsurprise | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maddizaskar | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tusk | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 12B | 12 | Decorated Soldier | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smarty Kitten | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Twenty Four Seven | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10B | 10 | Caribbean | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Djulpan | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Astute Warrior | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Arbitrator | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Irish Prayer | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Dot Matrix | 2.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Halloween Horror | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Control Group | 3.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Devilry | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Givetheman a Cigar | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mydadfloyd | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Boy Tate | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quai Voltaire | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dwizard | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The I Man | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tyndall | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rockin Alli | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | Victorias Fire | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Zippity Zoom | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wantagh Queen | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Swayed | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Laura’s Patriot | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Tiffanys Freud | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Promise | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 4 | Preziosa | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Head Shrinker | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Earring | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Now Power | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pop By | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galileo’s Song (IRE) | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Not Taken | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spiga (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pas de Soucis (IRE) | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thirstforthecup | 1.60 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Saratoga Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Barry Lee | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Copper Bullet | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Diddley | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vino | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood Star | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Oops | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tempestad | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bal Harbour | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Palladian Bridge | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Vicki’s Dancer | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Noble Freud | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | First Appeal | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Andromeda’s Risk | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Itsinthestars | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aussie Prayer | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Same Kinda Crazy | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lynnie B | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rock Ave. Road | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ragazza Di Papa | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Praise the Moon | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Data Room | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Wingman | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Holland Road | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cape Angel | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Itsabigboy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Strong Side | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Golden Away | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Couzier | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 5 | Pawn It Back | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Admirals Cove | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Street Review | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12A | 12 | Culture Carrier | 0.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Papi | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.