August 13, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Over Limit | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leonides Da Roma | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon City | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clearly a Demon | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gun Carriage | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mass Approval | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cookies Are Good | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gadsby Tavern | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ventina | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Two | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Parcela | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bull Empress | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pillango | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Opponent | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strayana | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bar Libre (IRE) | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patrona | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Baby Alidett | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sounds Like Music | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ten Carat Diamond | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Fantabulous | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Elastica | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Casual Caro | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Pie O’My | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Provenfactum | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | August Lilly | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brianna’s Bucket | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bossyatta | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dointhewatusi | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Ally | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Congrella | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He Wears the Crown | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Playful | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Savingtime | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Girls a Charmer | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Faith N Hope | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Sweet Dove | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dude Fantasy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lirica | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thinkinquality | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’s a Given | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lassell | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gaultier (FR) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lay It Down | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Diaz (IRE) | 1.20 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two Jacks Wild | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Kitten | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ganesh | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Ty Webb | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | El Guerrero Azteca | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zionsville | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Wheel Route | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Coal Miners Son | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Morningstar | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Lover | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mr. G T | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Delivered by Akiss | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | American Frolic | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Orbital Deity | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Day Trader | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Halo | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gift of Glory | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Queen Rose | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Permitted | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Expect an Entry | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Telling Me Softly | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Whiteheelgirl | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Taken to Church | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pure Cotton | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lets Go Irish Man | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Padre | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elite Kid | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brass Badge | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Judiths Nathan | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fend for Yourself | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alarcon | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seventyseven Stone | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Panama City H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Josdesanimaux | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Winning for Sarah | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Pancake | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Corey | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Maiara | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bitacora | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bonita | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imperial Secret | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Justa Jill | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Only in America | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Mile | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Banco Dinero | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sir Sparky | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fletcher Is Golden | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zachary’s Pitch | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | All Hundreds | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sambrook Edge | 3.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Weekend Appeal | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | College Holly | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tzi Our Destiny | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Giselle Ma Belle | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Right Or Wrong | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Who’s That Chick | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Bliss | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Hollywood Tomcat | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Antia | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Vinyardnina | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tearless | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | I’m Really Sumthin | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.