August 13, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Odyssey Explorer | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rafter One | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Arch | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Watered Down | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trustworthy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empire Ruler | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Topgallant | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hero Ten All | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Picture Tube | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Golden One | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mostly Cloudy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Royale | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Woodstock Memory | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Post Rock | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bottle Rocket | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Guy Code | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secreto Primero | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Eric the Trojan | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Paynes Prairie | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rainbow Squall | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | County Lineman | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Unreal Deal | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taima the Hawk | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Soul Streit | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thegloryisallmine | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frenchmen Street | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gran Fiesta | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Facts Matter | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Treasure Hunter | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jonny Be Bueno | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Studly Perfection | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Haulin’ Freight | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Eskimo Roses | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Beautiful Shot | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Dynamic Duo | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | June Two Four | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Red Lightning | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cats Blame | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Street | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captivate | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Psychedelicat | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Puig | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Juanito | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chin Tu | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Confirmed | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Rancho Bernardo H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Constellation | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skye Diamonds | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bendable | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rockport Babe | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Munny Spunt | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Spooky Woods | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cynthiana | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tooreen Dancer (IRE) | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lyrics | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Painting Corners | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Moccasin | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saburai | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lake Time | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carrie | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | November Tale (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stringent | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rocket Fuel | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Dermot | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tribal Jewel | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Irish Freedom | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brimstoned | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Kidding | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beantown Boys | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ain’t Misbehavin | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Milton Freewater | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | General Kitten | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Poco Suenos | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trustini | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | I Never Give Up | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gia Lula | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Polished | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Multiplayer | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ladybug | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Scat Home Lady | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Misty Slew | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dawn Traveller (IRE) | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cinnamon Twist | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.