August 12, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nancy R | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Friesan Gal | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iselle | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She Be Sassy | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Deal | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glory Unbound | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Red Clay Road | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Larrikin | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Censure | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Cullasaja King | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Godlovesasinner | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chant David Chant | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9A | 9 | Schiller Sound | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Stephen’s Answer | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Ralph | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Beltway Bob | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Weatherurnot | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She Is Special | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My City | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | First to Fire | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dusty Street | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Notthatitmatters | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lockupthebourbon | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Perfect Party Girl | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Spicy Dancer | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Crags | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Alyssa and a Lisa | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Petticoatsnpistols | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | D. K.’s Valentine | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosetta Red | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Viserion | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 5 | Act of Kindness | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Returntasenda | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Ink | 5.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tweety Show | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Wiggle Room | 10.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 6 | Valid Grass | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Read All About It | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dimples | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mettemarlamelva | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stormy Mama | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Came Up Rosie | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ermine and Purrs | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Prancer | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Old Time Revival | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elementary | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Super Vision | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Go Willy Go | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Street Copper | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blue Ridge Scout | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | French’s Quest | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Riteamontofmschief | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pascal Chant | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Redeemed Gentleman | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 12A | 12 | Lady of the Empire | 0.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chinquapin | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | Wolfie | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doukas | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Love That Kelly | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 15A | 15 | No More Excuses | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magsamelia | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Charm City | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Thatta Boy Girl | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Venezuelan Beauty | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3A | 3 | Crystal Pier | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | So Royal | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 3 | Zipline | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 16B | 16 | Just Funnin’ Ya | 0.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Enchanted Dreams | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Pea Patch Point | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 6B | 6 | Pop of Color | 0.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Di Colas Cowgirl | 20.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Polynesian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | No Distortion | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 4 | Divining Rod | 0.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Never Gone South | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Rockinn On Bye | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vorticity | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Truth Or Else | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Royal Squeeze | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Final Prospect | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Southern Barbecue | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Janine Melnitz | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Well Blessed | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Regal Roma | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Jersey’s Kittens | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Chef Karen | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Untaken | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Just a Glance Away | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Spicy Girl Red | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | La La Bamba | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fed Up Fired Up | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Cold Hearted Pearl | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Heaven’s Door | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Twixt S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Sweet On Smokey | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Mayla | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Shimmering Aspen | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Line of Best Fit | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Rachel’s Temper | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 7 | My Magician | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Sweetgrass | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Enterprising Lady | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ultimate Holiday | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Mo’ne Davis | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Flower | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Discreet Senorita | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Bigboldbok | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cape Apache | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Diamond Drive | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Look Within | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss My People | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Break the Mold | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Patti’s Pirate | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Major Anthem | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Collateral Damage | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kind Hearted | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fear the Fire | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Nico’s Nuummite | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quickhatch | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Derecho | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jed Tennessee | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.