August 11, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Baby Gronk | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poise to Strike | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Trump | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nehemiah | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Warlord | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Minister’s Glory | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shane Doan | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fabrication | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Psycho Dar | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Typhoon | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chicago Style | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Scotty | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | French Getaway | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Juristar (URU) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Paws Up Kaylin | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Willows Babe | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rossmoor Way | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sugaratsundown | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pray for Corday | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Innyminniemineymoe | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Derby Treasure | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Mom | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | We Will Re Joyce | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honorable Song | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Preacher Roe | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tough But Nice | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Hombre | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome Return | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord of Chaos | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Path of David | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alaskan Son (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pound Piece (IRE) | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Crown the Kitten | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Southern Freedom | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Excessive Kid | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Il Segreto (FR) | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moving | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Respect the Shot | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baron Charmant | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wildcat Kaos | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mac McLovin | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unobtainable | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Chewy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weiden | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bad Gary | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star Warrior | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Owl | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Blooded Girl | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Meiji | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Model | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | So I Sang | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anonymity | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Delectable | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Phantom Proton | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Troy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Solana Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Heat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starlite Style | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shehastheritestuff | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonless Sky | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dressed to a T | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | How Unusual | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lynne’s Legacy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Qiaona | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Desert General | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Touch | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Patrick | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lymebyrd | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Dude | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Union | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dukes Up | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kionntal | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Action Hero | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super Echelon | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.