August 11, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sky Wonder | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tail Gunner Carl | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spittintumbleweeds | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle N Away | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gorilla Panic | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enchanted Rambam | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | W W Allocation | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blanco Brush | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Octacato | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thirsty Girl | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peppermint Ice | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atlantic Gulch | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Go Back | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | A J’s Posse | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Changn Fivehundred | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Senor Blanco | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hint to Win | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cowboy Classic | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waiting On Thunder | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Producer | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Prairie Rebel | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hart Hills Road | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sea Rover | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Supermans Cape | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alittlevodka | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mas Mischief | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mystique Artiste | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Road to Zanzibar | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Louise | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Koala Lake | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Seashell | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nurse Megan | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Americanperfection | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ally Song | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mi Hermanita | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prada Storm | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Strict Observance | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gritty Greeley | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Khamsa Tfu | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghost to Ghost | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Minute Man | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dittman Thunder | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pride of Life | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | W W Distinction | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shotenough to Pop | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Andreas | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hide the Evidence | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Pillars | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Purr’s Along | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cheadle | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cocos Eddy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hiparko | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Jami Racer | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Silva Queen | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Wishes | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warretta | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Missimard | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diastole | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Staria Peach | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Elusive Ryder | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hopeful Joy | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flash N Go | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Newport Blue | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.