August 10, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scout’s Honor | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Bond | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Small Fortune | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Shark | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Natural Order | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uno Emayo | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Francis Freud | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | You Are Flatter | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Battle Ready | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hy Brasil | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kid From New York | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Over Montana | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spring Emperor | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | There They Go | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prost | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Codrington | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Atlas | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Single Mission | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dooder | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Northernstreetgal | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Courage | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4A | 4 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Reyana Reya Delite | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Exchange | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Valdocco | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Stun | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Consumerconfidence | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Admiral | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Love Your Buttons | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Romanologist | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Hot Salsa | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shidoshi | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fusaichi Red | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | True Romance | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Pawleys Express | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Discreet Senorita | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Swing and Sway | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Summer House | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Munchkin Money | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Driven by Speed | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Alabama Bound | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Table for Six | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Lem Me Dance | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Bloom | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Freeze | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Puparee | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pinchbeck | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Discreet Image | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Eighth Commandment | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Forever for Always | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Amazing Anne | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Bergen | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Five Each Way | 12.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Fair Regis | 6.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Sudden Surprise | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10B | 10 | Marriedtothemusic | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Escape to the Moon | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | We Did | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Global Positioning | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Love That Jazz | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8B | 8 | Manipulated | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Bluegrass Prevails | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Pegasus Red | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Heater | 1.60 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paz the Bourbon | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Dreamin | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Joan | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lover’s Key | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carry Your Heels | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silly Numbers | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emiliana’s Hope | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hollywood Cat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | High Jingo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Objective Complete | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Lulu’s Pom Pom | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Andretta | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nothingbutasmile | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Spa Treatment | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Amber Dancer | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Passing Reminder | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Frost Wise | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Louisiana Lady | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Amanda Lane | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Elegant Jem | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lady Love | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | New Canaan | 6.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Trading Kisses | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Kinky Sox | 5.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.