August 10, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Dynamic Scoring |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Oh Newman |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Tiz Jolie |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Alex Rossi (ARG) |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
African Fighter |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Accelerant |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Comet Sixty Two |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Warm Endowment |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Brookes All Mine |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Top Tizzy |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Swissarella |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Summer Lady |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Tybee Island |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Clifton Beach |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Rafter One |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
Vigorously Juan |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Flash Henry |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Beyond Wonderful |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Cash Driven |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Sooner Boomer |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
High Class Taste |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Mystic Grey |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
13 |
11 |
The Lion Roars |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Sensational Sea |
30.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Teamplayer |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Ib Prospecting |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Cool Munnings |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Schwary’s Girl |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Literary Critic |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Angel Allie |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Helen Wheels |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
D’ Platinum |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Anonymity |
0.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Lovely Linda |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Eye of the River |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Queen of Troy |
0.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Sunday Prophet |
4.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Nazareth |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Lirica Heat (ARG) |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Veronica Bay |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Scathing |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Forthenineteen |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Blooming Hannah |
3.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Forbidden Command |
2.50 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
I’m No Patsy |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Trinitys Turn |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Hold That Smile |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Twisted Rosie |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Myrcella |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Dream Proof |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Tapitha Bonita |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Miss Pretty |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Callie Mesa |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Jinn Win |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Lemon Crush |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Ciao Luna |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Daisy’s Stormcat |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
The Street Fighter |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Touching Rainbows |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sidepocket Champ |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Overcomer |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Swiss Minister |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Miracle March |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Coils Gold |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Johns Journey |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Looks Good N a Tux |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Halo Ahead |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
R Sunday Surprise |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Speakers |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Zillinda |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Battleground State |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Right to the Point |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Bella Sierra |
0.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Proper Drink |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Wicked Love |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Christiana’s Song |
6.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Apphia |
30.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
|
14 |
10 |
Promnesia |
15.00 |
11.7 |
22-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Quality Girl |
30.00 |
11.9 |
22-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Tangeline |
20.00 |
12.1 |
23-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.