Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 5, 2017

August 5, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Sandy’z Slew 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Uncle Youdge 2.50 4 8-1 Scr
13 13 Love That Jazz 3.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
7 7 Frisky Magician 4.00 4.4 8-1 Scr
14B 14 Marriedtothemusic 0.00 5.1 10-1
8 6 Nobody Move 10.00 6.9 13-1
2A 2 With Exultation 0.00 7.7 15-1
6 5 Fratello Del Nord 3.00 8 15-1
10 10 D’ Eloquent 5.00 8.1 15-1 Scr
4 3 Dr. Shane 8.00 8.3 16-1
12B 12 Grand Sky 0.00 8.6 16-1
15A 15 Mighty Zealous 0.00 9 17-1
3 1 Excluded 15.00 10 19-1
11 7 Irish Prayer 5.00 12.3 23-1
1 2 The Crocheron Kid 15.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 2 Total Cooperation 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Behavioral Bias 6.00 2.3 4-1
8A 8 Greek Alphabet 0.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Ride On Faith 0.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Zap Zap Zap 2.50 4 8-1
2A 2 Fully Vested 0.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Eight Town 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Swayze 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Mono 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Fasig-tipton Waya S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Suffused (GB) 1.40 2.7 5-1
7 6 Summersault 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Apple Betty (IRE) 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Guilty Twelve 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Estrechada (ARG) 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Gone Away 8.00 4.9 9-1 Scr
5 4 Lottie 8.00 6 11-1
6 5 Evidently 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3A 3 Roaming Union 0.00 1.3 2-1
13A 13 Lago Gris 0.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Monteleone 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Eclipsed Moon 5.00 4 8-1
11 10 He Takes Charge 6.00 4.4 8-1
15 15 Indimaaj 2.50 5.3 10-1 Scr
5 4 Strong Current 6.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Lone Sentry 8.00 6 11-1 Scr
14 14 Variant Perception 4.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
16 16 Super Sermon 0.00 6.4 12-1
4 3 Neepawa 10.00 7.1 14-1
10 9 Survey (IRE) 6.00 8.4 16-1
8 7 Seabhac 4.00 8.6 16-1
9 8 Sidewinder 20.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Trumpi 10.00 10 19-1 Scr
7 6 Irish Territory (IRE) 12.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
15 15 Cerro (IRE) 3.00 1.7 3-1 Scr
5 5 Delta Prince 2.50 2.9 5-1
11 11 Mutazen 3.50 5.3 10-1
13 13 Gift Box 1.60 6.1 12-1 Scr
14 14 Raagheb 4.50 6.3 12-1 Scr
16 16 Carve 6.00 7 13-1 Scr
3 3 Altar Boy 10.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Whatawonderflworld 5.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Knights Key 30.00 10.4 20-1
6 6 Toughest ‘Ombre 15.00 10.4 20-1
1 1 Mighty Mo 8.00 11 21-1
12 12 Wicked Freud 20.00 11.1 21-1
2 2 Alphonsus (GB) 10.00 11.6 22-1
8 8 Strike Midnight 12.00 11.9 22-1
10 10 Vulcan’s Forge 15.00 12 23-1
9 9 Derby Champagne 20.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 7 Arrival 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Ceevee 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Engage 3.50 3 6-1
11 9 National Flag 2.00 3.1 6-1
10 8 Mad Munnys 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Tap Master 10.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
7 5 Nanoosh 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 4 Nightstrings 15.00 6 11-1
8 6 Slot 5.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Rahfee Town 20.00 6.6 12-1 Scr
1 1 Thunder’s Honor 12.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Fasig-tipton Lure S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 13 Red Rifle 5.00 2.7 5-1 Scr
9 9 Mohaymen 3.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
8 7 Ring Weekend 6.00 4.6 9-1
12 10 Macagone 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Our Way 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Blacktype (FR) 8.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Vorticity 30.00 7.4 14-1 Scr
10 8 Fire Away 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Projected (GB) 1.80 8.3 16-1
2 2 Takeover Target 8.00 8.3 16-1
11 9 Camelot Kitten 4.50 8.6 16-1
3 3 Zennor 15.00 10 19-1
6 5 Aubenas (FR) 15.00 12.4 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Longines Test S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Faypien 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Minnie Blip 15.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 American Gal 2.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Chalon 5.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Divine Miss Grey 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Chanel’s Legacy 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Vertical Oak 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Cursor 30.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Tequilita 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Your Love 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Whitney S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Breaking Lucky 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Gun Runner 0.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 Cautious Giant 30.00 4 8-1
5 5 Keen Ice 3.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 War Story 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Discreet Lover 25.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Tu Brutus (CHI) 8.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Fasig-tipton De La Rose S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 4 Bar of Gold 10.00 1.7 3-1
10 6 Elysea’s World (IRE) 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Puca 12.00 4.4 8-1 Scr
2 2 Sassy Little Lila 2.50 4.9 9-1 Scr
11 7 Light In Paris (IRE) 8.00 5 9-1
13 13 Clipthecouponannie 4.00 6 11-1 Scr
12 8 Proper Discretion 30.00 6.6 12-1
9 5 Sky My Sky 12.00 7.1 14-1
7 3 On Leave 3.00 8 15-1
3 3 Freudie Anne 15.00 9.9 19-1 Scr
1 1 Thundering Sky 15.00 10 19-1
5 5 Boreale 20.00 11.4 22-1 Scr
6 2 Laur Net 30.00 12.4 23-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Neolithic 1.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Schivarelli 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Bolita Boyz 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Realm 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Brerry 30.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Candy Promises 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Warrior’s Club 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Mo Town 4.50 7.6 14-1
9 9 Luna de Loco 15.00 8.3 16-1 Scr
4 4 Always a Suspect 12.00 8.4 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.