August 5, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Dr. Move | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Another Richie | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hide the Evidence | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Cocos Eddy | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Greeleys Spirit | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Hansen Gone West | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Zip It | 50.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ready to Fight | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Out of the Woods | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roarin Missile | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Offlee Fun | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peteizum | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Rose Cat | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shak’em Up | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Pinata | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Voluptuous | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Back Page Star | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sacred Canyon | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Brewmistress | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crusader Girl Too | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Wind Chill Factor | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unscathed | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Resilient Rick | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Briar’s Gold | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Armando’s Star | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runningfromthefeds | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devileye | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caitlins Road | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Street Biz | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cause Ioya | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Applesolutely True | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pura Lica | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chica Bonita | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Kitty | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Curlinup | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | All Call | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Revolt | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Firespike | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Ft Davis | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Chas the Man | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Dann Good | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sylvan Hills Boy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amaroq | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wayne’s Ready | 1.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savie | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Man | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | J K’s Dream | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Two Run Triple | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bartbaalu | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rio Seco | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Tinderella | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Silver Lode | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Go Bonnie Go | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Je Suis Belle | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wildwood Scat | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tam | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Awesome Lily | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Refashion | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Star of the Market | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kara’s Angel | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Away She Glows | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sunset Gables | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Fahionably Late | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Katie’s Warrior | 30.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.