August 4, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady Greatness | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Beleve Watch | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Ally | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Histrionic | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreaming of Aca | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rruntoperfection | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Charlotte | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perennis | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Miserable | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rodeo Romance | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby I’m Perfect | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outstanding Debt | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elite Kid | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cuchito | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hold That Kitten | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devilish Romance | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Athera | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Talk Back | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peart | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Natrona Girl | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dana’s Ride | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vicky Queen | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Clouded Appeal | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gunship | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zing Zing | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A B G Guerrero | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Morningstar | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Wizard Willie | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s a Leader | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Lover | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Nephrite | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Winning for Sarah | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Teri’s Big Heart | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Queen | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arthemisa | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vendita | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bitacora | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cowgirl Tough | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chief Attraction | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Lantiz | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Princess Victoria | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fearless Princess | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fun and Games | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reagan’s Rose | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slewys Chosen One | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Homemade Salsa | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charcuterie | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Anabella Queen | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toni Ann’s Miracle | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Close the Deal | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Duke’s Wild Girl | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | First Illusion | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Stormin Charlotte | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thinkin Cowtown | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Two Step Blues | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dixieland Dudes | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Wild Chatter | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Great Euphrates | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Princess Ariel | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lonesome Palm | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Zena Rules | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | My Gal Lollipop | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Morena Mia | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Mo Bourbon | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | No Dinero | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Silver Shalis | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Three Star Stone | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Visions of You | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosty the Dragon | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Andrew the Bull | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Another Softball | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | J. T. Munnings | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Boy Scout | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | El Chapito | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Terry’s Charm | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Sebastian | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zefiro | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | More Alex | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Katy’s Cooper | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cat Prado | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Promete | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Son of Greatness | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Joker | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Leo | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Igotyoursix | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Front Line Paige | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.