July 30, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Coach Matthew | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tipu Run | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Run From the Nun | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Love You Much | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cherokee Spirit | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Buddy | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Lil Love Machine | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sharon Gunther | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frisky Whiskey | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Candy | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Lover | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hug a Tree | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nairet | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Larrikin | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Maryland Pride | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Earned It | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Censure | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Glenn’s Caper | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Repeat Repeat | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Broad Reach | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alluring Silver | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unclenedwhodrank | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Wise Men | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Miss Mischievous | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Holiday Magician | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Joyful Noise | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spunky Linda | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Fergie’s Lady | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Truly Hot | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Notable Game | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | No More Excuses | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blake’s Magic | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love That Kelly | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | So Royal | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Better Way | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Doukas | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Paper Dollie | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Crystal Pier | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Charm City | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Poco Loco | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fair Praise | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Irish Handcuffs | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Turbo Booster | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Iron Bank | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fifties Music | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Davy’s Fancy | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Adversary | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Wild Bill | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bralin’s Grace | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Buzz Lite | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Poke the Cat | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Oyster Soup | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Abercorn | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Slippery Slope | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | He’s One Wild Dude | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Dynaformer | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roethlisberger | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Eclipticals Wolf | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | My Own Lane | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | A True Gentleman | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Radial Flyer | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Story Spinner | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Virginia Royal | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | What Gives | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buzzworthy | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Jehozacat | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Theodosia | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sweet Tweet | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Friction Fire | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Cover | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Almond Roca | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chauncey | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Prank Call | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | In Jail | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Southern Peach | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Hissy Fit | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take A Deep Breath (GB) | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Sarah’s Whisper | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 5 | Bayshore Drive | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Deceit | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Eileen | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Pira | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Swisher | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tightly Bridled | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Cerebral | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 6 | Mr. Benz | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Sunrise Sunset | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Awesome Type | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Hardwin | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Saint Ignatius | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 1 | Gator Boy | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scrapple | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Credit Ready | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Spoiled by God | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 2 | Spectacularwarrior | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.