July 29, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nellie Mac | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Unforgivable U | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Spice Girl | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Dragon Tattoo | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Majestic Koa | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Henrietta Dubai | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ima Frayed Knot | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Powder Puff Girl | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Boca Scuttlebutt | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kendricks | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wanna Follow Me | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Salem Loop | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boilermaker | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Edger Jones | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Sensibility | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forest Friends | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Renwick | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Prince | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Freemark | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flashonforty | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two Steppin | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ebo Strong | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Forty Factor | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Kisses | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pleasant Sojourn | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Case the Place | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tildeath Do Uspart | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 6 | Take the Stromboli | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Sergeant J W R | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Uncle James | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Crushing Powder | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tipit | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Embid | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | We Can Dance | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Wizard of Odds | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pearsonality Too | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Klaatu | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Extrasexymazzerati | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cullasaja King | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 9 | Bang the Drum | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Interesting Legacy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shur Fox | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jones Taxi | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Don | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Bigasaurous | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Electric Storm | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tecumsehs Dance | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Proud Partner | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Final Encore | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Poised for Action | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heroic Indeed | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 6 | Howboutthemcowboys | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Godspeed Tommy | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nice Tune | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 4 | Dynasir | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ardmore Bay | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Tampa Bay Blue | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Rest Assured | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love My Cotton | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2X | 9 | Dixie Serenade | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Firey Child | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Little Lu | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Mill and Gloria | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Ultimate Challenge | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Smokinpaddylassie | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Smarty Pi | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Current | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Song of Joy | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Disco Rose | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keystone Kelly | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rockin Jojo | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Singer | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ponytail | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Checkbouncin Billy | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vibrant Ginger | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Billy No Sabay | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Herecomeskat | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Music | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thea’s Reign | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Totally Gaga | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Steffi | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Megan’s Muse | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gadwall | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Steph Got Even | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moon River Baby | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Warriors Diva | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Julie’s Indy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.