July 29, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | El Ciclon | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Recalibrating | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Diplomacy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Turkomani | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Velvet Colors | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patrick Joseph | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giant’s Voice | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mambocello | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Scam | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Prudhoe Bay | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | General Obvious | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Time Will Tell | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gregory Sun | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Minute Madness | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Last Lightning | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Never Burn a Copy | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bite the Bit | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leroy’s Image | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bo Bo’s On Fire | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ship Lock | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Triple Serious | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Solo Vino | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Fueledbydrama | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wise Warrior | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Haybub | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Raja | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | One Classy Dude | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rachel’s Warrior | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El de Dani | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Go Cristian Go | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Alarcon | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dave Hoeght | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gaultier (FR) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lay It Down | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Telling Tony | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valoordo | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gentle Johnny | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Point | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Black Martino | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bakyt | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Road Warrior Max | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Lemon Royal | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Over Limit | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Red Button | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cyber Josh | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Runaway Bull | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Right Up My Alley | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dramatic Entry | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bonnie Boy Hunter | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colton’s Honor | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Matthews Mystery | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Adagio | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Completely Bonkers | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beneficiary | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kroy | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dopo Lavoro | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zipping | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Foolin Around | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jaiden’s Best | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Papa Pig | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Little Matt | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | G Q Coverup | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Eddie E | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Betting On Red | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tonina | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rruntoperfection | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Recenttransactions | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silktale | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Edge | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Scrap the Mandate | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Anothermouthtofeed | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | U S Diva | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He Wears the Crown | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Debrah’s Dance | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kiya | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | You Can Do Magic | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Proud Abby | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kimberly Light | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little No Way | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King Mauro | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Archer Road | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allurstra | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seconds Over Tokyo | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamrider | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gran Chief | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spun Out | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shiny Copper Penny | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Elite Kid | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | No Not Again (IRE) | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Dominator | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Phish Fan | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Applause | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Johnny Be Good | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Apache | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swagbag | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Mongolia | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Private Journal | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nutty Boy | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Phil’sfirstfactum | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Indiana Cowboy | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Donegal Hall | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Added Elegance H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Khaleesi | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | More Than a Party | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dad’s Princess | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cult Classic | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catsadiva | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | R Kinsley Doll | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fergielicious | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Money Or Love | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Jagr | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Salutation | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A B G Mostro | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whoop Ti Do | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exclusive Reward | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Taverni Bay | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu’smostwanted | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Switched | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bluegrass Fields | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crafty Colonel | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lil’ Charlie | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Bodhi Dog | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stravinsky’s Quest | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Running On Guinnes | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Luckisback | 20.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ready With Honor | 20.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.