July 29, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Old Fashioned King | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | World Changer | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Glass | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beauziggity | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Think He’s Gone | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Willow Bob | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tapitontheside | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brahms Breeze | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nekia’s Uno One | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. McGoey | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Place | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harlington’s Angel | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double Derby Perks | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Natala | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Ocean Sunrise | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Tootsie On a Roll | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Sweet Tandy | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Lady Gregoria | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Line of Sand | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Girl Nation | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | La Lluvia | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coconut Pop | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Specialality | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Indian Red | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Start Jumping | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rare Eagle | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Social Stranger | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Complacent | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | To the Stars | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Mid Ocean | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Ghostly Games | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2B | 4 | Persie | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady’s Island | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Graceful Light | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leapt | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pick Your Pleasure | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kilrush | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Makeyourselfathome | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Maxima | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Good Save | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Romeo | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rock Solid Golfer | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Ian Smith | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 5 | Forever Bernardini | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fantasize | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Vakeesh | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giles Fair | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Intractable | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Takethattothebank | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Smokinwatchstopper | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 4 | Dennis’ Diamond | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Midway Gold | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway King | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stilburnin | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bull E Winkle | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D. S. Boyd | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Expectations | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Proud Wildcat | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nico’s On the Run | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Light Up Our World (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 5 | Tricky Escape | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Broken Bridle | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 2 | Bawlmer Hon | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Sharp | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blame It On Me | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Nickyrocksforpops | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Emelina | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 3 | Ms. Scarlet Fever | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Tenggara | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Squeeze | 4.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Bertranda | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 6 | Wowwhatabrat | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Good Roll | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bob Magness Memorial Arabian Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | QUICK SAND AA | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | RB NASH | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2B | 5 | RB HOT DATE | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | JIMDANDY TOTHEREHESSQ | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | RB OPEN FIRE | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | MADJIKMAN | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | PSC TALEB | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | HIGHH SHINE | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.