July 29, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tatters to Riches | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jungle Warfare | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior’s Lullaby | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blended Citizen | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ayacara (GB) | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midknight Attache | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Zanab | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fabulous Lady | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rizzi’s Honors | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Tee Em Eye | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | You’re the Reason | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Cloud | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tiz Deliteful | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mama’s Sugar | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warren’s Purrfect | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fashion Fair | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pattin for a Dance | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – California Dreamin’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Italian Babbo | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | He Will | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Troutman | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Soi Phet | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | G. G. Ryder | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Incredible Luck | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Munny Spunt | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Table for Three | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sly Humor | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Shopper | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Mosey | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Another Girl Alma | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gemini Journey | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Poco Suenos | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tequila Sunrise | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Medaglia Gold | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Creative Spark | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | West Princess | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sauce On Side | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Baytown Juliet | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Misty Slew | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Goncharova | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Also Hot | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Encinitas (IRE) | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dawn Traveller (IRE) | 3.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Breezy Bee | 5.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cinnamon Twist | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Go On Mary | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Delitefull Lady | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Chattykat | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wonderful Lie | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Precious Dixie | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Jude | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bernina Star | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Merirosvo | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lake Time | 3.50 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Sweet Connie | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Mamba | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arrowsphere | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scandal | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Causeforcommotion | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Robin’s Love | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Free Rein | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Mag the Mighty | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Domestic Vintage | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kitty’s Girl | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Time for Luck | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Boldest Vow | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Island Retreat (GB) | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blossom Trail Miss | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gentrified | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sutton Impact | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Night’s Watch | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tavasco Road | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Factored In | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight Blue | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Big League | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Who’s Hot | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Regal Born | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Valor | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Causa | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bing Crosby S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Drefong | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ransom the Moon | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Roy H | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Kobe’s Back | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Denman’s Call | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Macher | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | St. Joe Bay | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coastline | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Moe Candy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Solid Wager | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magic Taste | 50.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Rainbow Squall | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kona Dreams | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Picture Tube | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Westwood’s Wizard | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Beaumarchais | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Zapana’s Game | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Uber Star | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He Could | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Chrome | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Red King | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Rings of Jupiter | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Popyhowuspelcupcak | 3.50 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | We’re Just Sayin | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tyler’s Tek | 20.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.