July 28, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Mis Viola | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Terra Lago | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Boss Move | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Fly as a Falcon | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trust Fund Kitty | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Coco Loco Mama | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Faith Factor | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Honorable Song | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | El Super | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Excavation | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Country Road | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wheresthemoneyjack | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cammy’s Music | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pick One | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Demonslayer | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pampers n’ Boots | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | May B | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zuri Chop (FR) | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Rocit | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bottle Rocket | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | No Silent | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Eric the Trojan | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | El Tovar | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Chips All In | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Paynes Prairie | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Native Treasure | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hollywood Don | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mischief Clem | 4.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Hank the Tank | 8.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unreal Deal | 10.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zuzu’s Petals | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Papa Mambo | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Candy Ruler | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Freedom Journey | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Haveiture Way | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dangerously Close | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Adios Cali | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Paschalitsa | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warrenscrystalized | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | All of a Sudden | 0.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Love Recipe | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Bottle Service | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Papa | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tatar | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kings River King | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Accreditation | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Brahms Forest | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Majestic Journey | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Lovely Anzi | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Thermopolis | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Spiritual Warrior | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Drum Roll Please | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Rolls Royce Deal | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | El Nino Fable | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ashley’s Song | 20.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Real Good Deal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Elwood J | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Troutman | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ann Arbor Eddie | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Milton Freewater | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Edwards Going Left | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Hinx | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly to Mars | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | At Ease | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fritz Johansen | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | American League | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trifecta | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eckersley | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Record Highs | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lord of Chaos | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Incredible Luck | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Conquest Superstar | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Special Season (GB) | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cafe Flavor | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Calvert Street | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oregon | 4.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Offshore | 8.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sunset Grill | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Indium | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rick’s Dream | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Brightside | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hoppitty | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alpha Uno | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Dare to Believe | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | You’ll Be Lucky | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Real McCann | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 10 | Melvinized | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sumday Sumday | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pipedreams | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Monetary Policy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Second Gear | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.