July 23, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Krissys Manicure | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Newport Breeze | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yesterday’s News | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ladybug | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D D’s Lute | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gia Lula | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winsinfashion | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Belle | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stole My ‘Art | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Private Terrace | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swissarella | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lirica Heat (ARG) | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blooming Hannah | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scathing | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sheswildnfree | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trinitys Turn | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Wickerr S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Calculator | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vyjack | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dalmore | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfectly Majestic | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blackjackcat | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prime Attraction | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Lad | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Red Lightning | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Troublewithatee | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Juanito | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Towards the Light | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Way Gone | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Six Cider | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Camino de Estrella | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stone Hands | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Your Bright Future | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Yes Yes Yes | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Patentar (FR) | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Little Scotty | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Southern Freedom | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Wood Machine | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brimstoned | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Sky Preacher | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ebadan (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’ll Wrap It Up | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Action Hero | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Ain’t Misbehavin | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Terrys Tom Cat | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Secret Touch | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hard Arch | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rafter One | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Waldorf | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Topgallant | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harrovian | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Union Forever | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Duper Cooper | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bow and Arrow | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charming Morty | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Day Tomorrow | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – San Clemente H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Sircat Sally | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noted and Quoted | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Storm the Hill | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lull | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Madam Dancealot (IRE) | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blame It On Alphie | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spy Ring (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Enthrall | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kenda | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blue Anchor | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocket Fuel | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tough But Nice | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Texas Two Step | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Lieutenant | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Americanize | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Pleasure | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prime Issue | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Superior Status | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Odyssey Explorer | 0.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Sonneteer | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Conqueror | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | New Dancer | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Aussie Fox | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brulee | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Arch Prince | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Trustworthy | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cascade Rock (IRE) | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Striking Appeal | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indoctrination (IRE) | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cozmic One | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.