July 22, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dayin Deauville | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jennifer J. | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Betty Grables Legs | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Appollos Baby Girl | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time for Parading | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hurraca | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Holy Plan | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queen of Wildwood | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Listen to Mama | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taste of Raj | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spring Me | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Izabella | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Barb n’ Don | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Wishes | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gift Giver Linda | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Missimard | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Domina | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | City of Justice | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Charming Day | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flirtin Fool | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Smarty | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sturn Donna | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keturah | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zosia | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ode to Smitten | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Split Tens | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spectacular Road | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Fast Life | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Go Oshie Go | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of the Score | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smokey Row Mac | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shakurr | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Havana Moon | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweetbaby | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Clever Serve | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You’re Welcome | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Royalty Princess | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kalispell | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Dial the Doctor | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Betruetoyourschool | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Study | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bump Bump | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Tam | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Henry’s Song | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Sullyvin’s G G | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mele Kaliki Maka | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Pretty Cute | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.